A.J. Brown is a New England Patriot. Surprised? …Neither are we. But it was nice to get a fresh supply of breaking news—not only the AJB trade, but also Myles Garrett going to the Rams, big money extensions, and the New York Giants building the best WR corps of the 2010s.

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Graham Barfield analyzes the fantasy football impact from both sides of the Eagles trade of WR AJ Brown to the Patriots.

A.J. Brown was WR7 in back-to-back seasons from 2022-23 and scored as WR12 in each of the last two years—despite being on a team that never ranked higher than 11th in pass rate over expectation in each of the last four seasons. The Patriots on the other hand were the 5th-most pass-heavy offense (+5.4% over expectation) in 2025 and are led by Drake Maye, who ranks 7th in catchable throw rate, 6th in EPA/DB, and leads all passers in completion rate over expectation over the last two seasons.

Meanwhile in Philly, this is DeVonta Smith’s big chance to prove that he’s an alpha. Over the past two seasons, Smith has played in four games without Brown, in which he averaged 31% more targets per game (6.3 T/G with Brown vs. 8.3 T/G without) and 15% more expected fantasy points per game (12.8 XFP/G with Brown vs. 14.7 XFP/G without). By volume alone, this would upgrade Smith from a WR2 to more of a low-end WR1.

Read the full article HERE for Barfield’s thoughts on how Makai Lemon will affect this offense, as well as the limitations of Jalen Hurts.

Ryan Heath identifies the ideal middle-round players to draft at every position in 2026 best ball fantasy football contests.

QB Brock Purdy
Underdog ADP: 98.0 (QB13) | DraftKings ADP: 99.6 (QB14)

Over the past three seasons, Purdy has led all QBs in EPA/dropback (0.23, ahead of Josh Allen, Drake Maye, and Lamar Jackson). Over the same span, he ranks as the QB5 with his 0.57 FP/DB (the most predictive QB stat, coming in behind only hyper-mobile QBs Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, and Jaxson Dart). That’s even though that metric — with dropbacks in the denominator — inherently advantages those QBs who score fantasy points on designed runs (non-dropbacks). By fantasy points per opportunity (which accounts for this), Purdy ranks 3rd-best (0.57, behind only Allen and Jackson).

RB Bhayshul Tuten
Underdog ADP: 60.2 (RB26) | DraftKings ADP: 63.9 (RB26)

Since 2021, Liam Coen ranks 3rd-best among all playcallers in EPA/play (0.15), behind only Todd Monken and Kyle Shanahan, and ahead of Andy Reid and Ben Johnson. He ranks 7th by yards per play (6.31) and 1st in points per game (28.7). Unsurprisingly, that has led to a valuable overall backfield in fantasy football (below).

As for Tuten himself, he posted the best rushing success rate of any rookie RB over the past five years and among all drafted Power Conference RBs since 2015, he ranked in the 94th percentile by career yards after contact per attempt, and the 69th percentile by career explosive run rate coming out of college. Don’t be scared off by the depth-signing of Chris Rodriguez or the overrated 3rd down role of LeQuint Allen (Tuten commanded more overall targets and receiving yards than Allen despite running only 5 routes on 3rd and 4th down all season).

WR Josh Downs
Underdog ADP: 99.4 (WR45) | DraftKings ADP: 110.2 (WR48)

Across well over 1,000 routes in three NFL seasons, Downs has averaged a 0.25 TPRR. Only nine players since the 2021 draft class have exceeded that mark over an initial three seasons, and every other name on the list below goes inside the first five rounds.

With Michael Pittman off the team now, Heath is pretty skeptical that the Colts will regularly play Nick Westbrook-Ikhine or Ashton Dulin at Downs’ expense; they’ll either play more 11 personnel or simply play Downs outside in 12. He comes off the board between the WR45 and WR48 when he’s averaged 13.0 FPG (~WR18) across 11 career games above a 75% route share, and 2026 looks like by far his best chance ever to exceed that across a full season (he was at just 63% last year).

TE Dallas Goedert
Underdog ADP: 135.0 (TE15) | DraftKings ADP: 124.4 (TE12)

Goedert’s FPG and receiving YPG without A.J. Brown would respectively have ranked as the TE6 and TE7 last year.

Goedert probably isn’t going to win you your managed league. But he’s the perfect high-floor best ball pick to complete a 2-TE build or anchor a 3-TE build, and he’s a cheap way to get access to the Eagles’ offense as a Week 17 bring-back for the 49ers stacks (Evans, Purdy, Kittle) that Heath is so fond of.

Read the full article HERE for more players to target in your best ball drafts at each position.

Betting expert Tom Brolley examines the first wave of 2026 player props, including best bets and leans on passing yards.

Brolley’s Best Bet:
Jayden Daniels UNDER 3399.5 Passing Yards (-110, DraftKings)
After missing 10 games for knee, hamstring, and elbow injuries, Daniels is hoping for better injury luck in Year 3. But even if that happens, he could have some issues with a weak supporting cast. Terry McLaurin’s five-year streak of 1000+ receiving yards came to an end because of his own injury issues, and a 3rd-round pick, Antonio Williams, is currently the #2 WR behind the soon-to-be 31-year-old WR. The Commanders will also be breaking in a first-time playcaller, David Blough, who is just six weeks older than McLaurin. Daniels is no doubt one of the top fantasy QBs because of his legs, but he has multiple ways to fall short of his passing yards total.

Others to Consider…
Justin Herbert OVER 3500.5 Passing Yards (-115, theScore Bet)
Herbert has reached 3700+ yards in five of his first six seasons, falling short in 2023 when he missed four games. He’s received plenty of buzz this offseason after landing OC Mike McDaniel, whose Miami teams ranked 6th in YPA (7.58) during his four-year run as head coach, mostly with Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback.

Jaxson Dart UNDER 3175.5 Passing Yards (-115, Caesars)
Dart averaged just 6.7 YPA and 189.3 passing YPG in his 12 starts as a rookie. He also played just 25 snaps with Malik Nabers in the starting lineup, whose recovery from ACL and meniscus repairs has been slower than anticipated. Dart himself is a health risk, too, experiencing one diagnosed concussion and being evaluated five times last season.

Read the full article HERE for other passing yards prop bets to consider.

Tom Brolley gathers and breaks down the latest actionable fantasy football intel from NFL OTAs and minicamps.

The NFL is in “Phase Three” of the offseason—the final stage before contact practices begin with training camp in late July—so Tom Brolley went team by team to round up the most important fantasy headlines coming out of all 32 workouts. Here are a few to note…

Josh Jacobs was arrested in Wisconsin on domestic abuse charges in connection with a disturbance on May 23. He was booked into Brown County Jail on five charges for the domestic violence incident, including felony strangulation and four misdemeanors. The NFL said that it is aware of the report and is in contact with the Packers, and Jacobs “vehemently” denied the allegations through his lawyers. The Brown County District Attorney’s Office released Jacobs from custody on May 27. No charges were filed at the time, but the investigation remains open, and a final charging decision will be made at a later date.

The Santa Clara District Attorney’s Office issued an arrest warrant for Brandon Aiyuk on a misdemeanor charge of exhibition of speeding. He posted a video on YouTube of himself driving well over the posted 40 mph speed limit on a road that runs past Levi’s Stadium. Aiyuk is unlikely to face jail time or a suspension from the NFL, but it does make it more unlikely that the 49ers will be able to trade him before the start of the season.

Cardinals HC Mike LaFleur told reporters that Marvin Harrison will play the Davante Adams role as the X receiver in his offense, and Michael Wilson will play the Puka Nacua role as the Z receiver. Additionally, Kendrick Bourne will see more time in the slot as the #3 WR after running 28.3% of his routes from the slot over the last five seasons. The bad news for Arizona’s WRs is that Jacoby Brissett, Gardner Minshew, and Carson Beck will be playing the Matthew Stafford role.

Rome Odunze missed the final five games of the regular season for a stress fracture, and he’s still dealing with complications from the break this offseason. He told the media, “It’s not from a standpoint that I’m like always in pain, but the way my foot broke, there’s calluses in there that creates a different type of foot structure with those bones — different things that kind of shifts things around. So my new normal was kind of what I am going into. And I don’t think that’s anything that’s going to prohibit me or keep me from making plays.” This is certainly a situation to at least be aware of in case it flares up later in training camp or during the season.

George Kittle believes he’s on track to be ready for the season opener in Australia despite tearing his right Achilles in mid-January and having it surgically repaired 19 weeks ago. He’s yet to be cleared for football activities, but he resumed 100% body weight jogging a few weeks ago and was seen doing single-leg hops on the side during OTAs.

Check in HERE for the full tracker, which Brolley will be updating consistently through June 18th.

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