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šŸˆ Brian Thomas Jr & Week 7 Starts/Sits

The Everything Report, Starts & Sits, Best Bets and more

Welcome to Week 7. There’s a little chill in the air, football is on almost every night, and the holidays are approaching…the best time of the year is here. Whether your fantasy team is a powerhouse and sleepwalking into the playoffs, or if you need some luck and a miracle to sniff the first round… we've got you with some key information to keep improving.

Reminder: We’ve got a game in London today at 9:30 am EST. If you have anyone on the Rams or Jags, make your changes early.

That TNF game was cinema…Joe Flacco saved us (and the Bengals).

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  • Starts and Sits😤

  • Trends & Trades šŸ“ˆ

  • Best Bets šŸ¤‘

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The Everything Report Week 7

Scott Barrett reviews all the fantasy football usage from 2025 NFL Week 6, with everything you need to know for Week 7

Top 3- XFP Leaderboard

Is Brian Thomas Jr back? Short answer…yes. After playing through a wrist injury early in the season, he’s averaged 85 receiving yards per game, placing him among the league’s top five wideouts. While he’s still shown some hesitation and had a few drops, he’s posted a 37% first-read target share in two of his last three games, a mark shared only by the league’s elite fantasy WRs.

With key Jaguars pass catchers injured or underperforming and the team ranking top-5 in pass rate (PROE +5.5%), Thomas is set up for sustained volume and production. He’s also benefited from a tough early schedule that’s now easing up, giving him a clearer path to consistency. All signs point to Thomas returning to top-12 fantasy WR status, making him a strong buy-low candidate at his current WR2 value.

JSN is otherworldly. There’s almost no frame of reference for how unbelievably incredible Jaxon-Smith Njigba has been. He’s averaging 4.61 YPRR, easily the best season in Fantasy Points Data history. He’s averaging 4.24 YPTPA, which is far and away the most by any player since the 1960s. If the MVP was settled by Week 7, it’d be JSN (he’s currently 400:1 on DraftKings Sportsbook for those wondering). Most have Darnold higher on the ladder…but JSN accounts for 50% of his yards.

Tyler Warren or Brock Bowers? As we keep saying, Tyler Warren is this year’s Brock Bowers - another all-time great Tight End prospect. Warren currently leads his team in first-read target share (23.9%) and leads his team and the TE position in receiving YPG (61.7, just 2.3 less than what Bowers had through his first six games).

Honestly, the biggest difference between 2025 Tyler Warren (2.36 YPRR) and 2024 Brock Bowers (2.11 YPRR) is just that Indianapolis isn’t dropping back (33.0, 5th-fewest) anywhere near as much as the Raiders did a season ago (41.5, 3rd-most). But the talent is very similar - Warren is obviously a top-5 TE moving forward in redraft leagues, and a top-2 TE in dynasty as well.

Find league winners & more in The Everything Report Week 7.

Week 7 Starts/Sits

Graham Barfield lists the stats you need to help make your toughest lineup decisions for Week 7.

Start D’Andre Swift. He just slammed the Commanders for 175 scrimmage yards - Swift remains the most underrated RB2 in fantasy. He’s seen at least 15 touches and has gone over at least 60 scrimmage yards in five straight games. Ride it.

Start Kimani Vidal. The Chargers rode Vidal’s hot hand last week to 138 scrimmage yards and a TD against a terrible Miami defense. He vastly out-snapped Hasaan Haskins by a 67% to 31% margin. At worst, he’s a high-end FLEX in this spot.

Start Chris Olave. Mr. Expected Fantasy Points actually converted some of his high volume into a good game last week, posting a season-best 6/98 receiving. He’s a really strong WR2 play based on his volume, and he has a chance to hit a ceiling here in this possible shootout. Chicago is allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to outside wide receivers.

Sit Travis Kelce. In his last 12 regular-season games in which Rashee Rice has played more than 55% of the snaps, Kelce has just 53/528/1 receiving (on 74 targets). That’s worth 7.1 Half-PPR FPG (TE21).

Sit Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. As expected, the Titans turned into an ugly committee this past week, with Spears much more involved after he missed the opening month with an ankle injury. Ideally, you’re avoiding this backfield. The Patriots are a brutally tough matchup and are giving up just 3.2 YPC (fourth-fewest).

Sit Sam Darnold. Over the last four weeks, Darnold has popped up as a viable streamer with QB10, QB17, QB3, and QB9 scoring outings. Darnold is balling. He’ll be on the top-12 radar for the rest of the season, but this is a really tough matchup. Houston is holding opposing QBs to a league-low 9.2 passing fantasy points per game.

Read the full article for advice on who to start & sit throughout the entire Week 6 slate.

Carolina Panthers (1%) vs NYJ. Take any defense vs Fields and the Jets, especially when they won’t have Garrett Wilson...even if it’s the Panthers. If you’re desperate and the waiver wire is bleak…this might be worth a shot, per Drake’s Week 7 Streaming D/STs.

All Systems Go! Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle vs Browns DBs. Over the last five weeks, the Browns have surrendered the 5th-most fantasy points to outside WRs, where Jaylen Waddle runs most of his routes. While poor weather and Myles Garrett’s pressure could limit Tua Tagovailoa, Waddle remains a strong bet for a touchdown and borderline WR1 production this week, per Dolan’s Week 7 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.

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Trends & Trades

Players to trade/trade for, risers & fallers & more

Quinshon Judkins // Joshua Gunter, Cleveland .com

Buy Quinshon Judkins. He got stymied in Week 6, but his perceived value took a big hit, so perhaps you can take advantage. This inclusion is a little short-sighted, since it’s about his next 3-4 opponents, but if you’re looking for immediate help, Judkins should easily run for 100+ yards at home this week against Miami (and 200 yards is in play). He should also then get volume and/or have a good matchup in three of his next four games after they’re at NE (17.9), BYE, at NYJ (20.6), vs. Bal (29.1), and at LV (21), per Hansen’s Week 7 Players to Trade/Trade For.

Sell Ashton Jeanty. He’s the RB7 in FPG with 22.3 the last three weeks, but he’s often hanging on by a thread because Geno Smith is terrible. More importantly, his prospects look pretty bleak based on some tougher matchups the next eight weeks: at KC (20.5), BYE, vs. Jax (20.0), at Den (17.6), vs. Dal (28.5), vs. Cle (16.2), at LAC (21.1), and vs. Den (17.6). So he has the two toughest matchups in the league (Den and Cle) three times in his next eight, but all tougher matchups other than Dallas, per Hansen’s Week 7 Players to Trade/Trade For.

šŸ’ø Best Bets

  • Cam Skattebo over 13.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet365). Denver allows the ninth-most receiving yards per game to running backs (39.3) and gave up 29+ yards to lead backs in each of its first five games. Skattebo led Tracy in route share last week (49% to 18%), and he’s topped 14 receiving yards in three of four losses, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 7.

  • J.K. Dobbins over 58.5 rushing yards (-118, MGM). New York allows a league-high 6.1 yards per carry and the sixth-highest success rate (58%) on man blocking runs. 58% of Dobbins runs are off man-blocking concepts. Dobbins went over 63 yards in Weeks 1-5 before last week’s down game (14/40 rushing), per Barfield’s Best Bets Week 7.

  • Week 7 TD Props per Kelley’s Paul’s Props and Touchdowns: Week 7:

    • Rashee Rice (+130, Bet365)

    • Justin Jefferson (+140, DK)

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