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š Brian Thomas Jr & Week 7 Starts/Sits
The Everything Report, Starts & Sits, Best Bets and more

Welcome to Week 7. Thereās a little chill in the air, football is on almost every night, and the holidays are approachingā¦the best time of the year is here. Whether your fantasy team is a powerhouse and sleepwalking into the playoffs, or if you need some luck and a miracle to sniff the first round⦠we've got you with some key information to keep improving.
Reminder: Weāve got a game in London today at 9:30 am EST. If you have anyone on the Rams or Jags, make your changes early.
That TNF game was cinemaā¦Joe Flacco saved us (and the Bengals).
41-year old Aaron Rodgers and 40-year old Joe Flacco on a random Thursday night in October
ā NFL Memes (@NFL_Memes)
2:45 AM ⢠Oct 17, 2025
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Starts and Sitsš¤
Trends & Trades š
Best Bets š¤
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ā Sean
The Everything Report Week 7
Scott Barrett reviews all the fantasy football usage from 2025 NFL Week 6, with everything you need to know for Week 7

Top 3- XFP Leaderboard
Is Brian Thomas Jr back? Short answerā¦yes. After playing through a wrist injury early in the season, heās averaged 85 receiving yards per game, placing him among the leagueās top five wideouts. While heās still shown some hesitation and had a few drops, heās posted a 37% first-read target share in two of his last three games, a mark shared only by the leagueās elite fantasy WRs.
Brian Thomas in 2025 Weeks 2-4, and 2024 Weeks 9-10 (playing through wrist and chest injuries):
- 6.0 targets/game
- 37.4 receiving YPG
- 7.3 FPGIn every other career game:
- 8.1 targets/game
- 79.4 receiving YPG
- 17.7 FPGIs it possible he just plays poorly through injury?
ā Ryan Heath (@RyanJ_Heath)
2:17 AM ⢠Oct 13, 2025
With key Jaguars pass catchers injured or underperforming and the team ranking top-5 in pass rate (PROE +5.5%), Thomas is set up for sustained volume and production. Heās also benefited from a tough early schedule thatās now easing up, giving him a clearer path to consistency. All signs point to Thomas returning to top-12 fantasy WR status, making him a strong buy-low candidate at his current WR2 value.
JSN is otherworldly. Thereās almost no frame of reference for how unbelievably incredible Jaxon-Smith Njigba has been. Heās averaging 4.61 YPRR, easily the best season in Fantasy Points Data history. Heās averaging 4.24 YPTPA, which is far and away the most by any player since the 1960s. If the MVP was settled by Week 7, itād be JSN (heās currently 400:1 on DraftKings Sportsbook for those wondering). Most have Darnold higher on the ladderā¦but JSN accounts for 50% of his yards.
Tyler Warren or Brock Bowers? As we keep saying, Tyler Warren is this yearās Brock Bowers - another all-time great Tight End prospect. Warren currently leads his team in first-read target share (23.9%) and leads his team and the TE position in receiving YPG (61.7, just 2.3 less than what Bowers had through his first six games).
Honestly, the biggest difference between 2025 Tyler Warren (2.36 YPRR) and 2024 Brock Bowers (2.11 YPRR) is just that Indianapolis isnāt dropping back (33.0, 5th-fewest) anywhere near as much as the Raiders did a season ago (41.5, 3rd-most). But the talent is very similar - Warren is obviously a top-5 TE moving forward in redraft leagues, and a top-2 TE in dynasty as well.
Find league winners & more in The Everything Report Week 7.
Week 7 Starts/Sits
Graham Barfield lists the stats you need to help make your toughest lineup decisions for Week 7.
Start DāAndre Swift. He just slammed the Commanders for 175 scrimmage yards - Swift remains the most underrated RB2 in fantasy. Heās seen at least 15 touches and has gone over at least 60 scrimmage yards in five straight games. Ride it.
Start Kimani Vidal. The Chargers rode Vidalās hot hand last week to 138 scrimmage yards and a TD against a terrible Miami defense. He vastly out-snapped Hasaan Haskins by a 67% to 31% margin. At worst, heās a high-end FLEX in this spot.
Start Chris Olave. Mr. Expected Fantasy Points actually converted some of his high volume into a good game last week, posting a season-best 6/98 receiving. Heās a really strong WR2 play based on his volume, and he has a chance to hit a ceiling here in this possible shootout. Chicago is allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to outside wide receivers.
Sit Travis Kelce. In his last 12 regular-season games in which Rashee Rice has played more than 55% of the snaps, Kelce has just 53/528/1 receiving (on 74 targets). Thatās worth 7.1 Half-PPR FPG (TE21).
Sit Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. As expected, the Titans turned into an ugly committee this past week, with Spears much more involved after he missed the opening month with an ankle injury. Ideally, youāre avoiding this backfield. The Patriots are a brutally tough matchup and are giving up just 3.2 YPC (fourth-fewest).
Sit Sam Darnold. Over the last four weeks, Darnold has popped up as a viable streamer with QB10, QB17, QB3, and QB9 scoring outings. Darnold is balling. Heāll be on the top-12 radar for the rest of the season, but this is a really tough matchup. Houston is holding opposing QBs to a league-low 9.2 passing fantasy points per game.
Read the full article for advice on who to start & sit throughout the entire Week 6 slate.
Carolina Panthers (1%) vs NYJ. Take any defense vs Fields and the Jets, especially when they wonāt have Garrett Wilson...even if itās the Panthers. If youāre desperate and the waiver wire is bleakā¦this might be worth a shot, per Drakeās Week 7 Streaming D/STs.
All Systems Go! Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle vs Browns DBs. Over the last five weeks, the Browns have surrendered the 5th-most fantasy points to outside WRs, where Jaylen Waddle runs most of his routes. While poor weather and Myles Garrettās pressure could limit Tua Tagovailoa, Waddle remains a strong bet for a touchdown and borderline WR1 production this week, per Dolanās Week 7 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.
Who Do You Want Most ROS? |
Trends & Trades
Players to trade/trade for, risers & fallers & more

Quinshon Judkins // Joshua Gunter, Cleveland .com
Buy Quinshon Judkins. He got stymied in Week 6, but his perceived value took a big hit, so perhaps you can take advantage. This inclusion is a little short-sighted, since itās about his next 3-4 opponents, but if youāre looking for immediate help, Judkins should easily run for 100+ yards at home this week against Miami (and 200 yards is in play). He should also then get volume and/or have a good matchup in three of his next four games after theyāre at NE (17.9), BYE, at NYJ (20.6), vs. Bal (29.1), and at LV (21), per Hansenās Week 7 Players to Trade/Trade For.
Sell Ashton Jeanty. Heās the RB7 in FPG with 22.3 the last three weeks, but heās often hanging on by a thread because Geno Smith is terrible. More importantly, his prospects look pretty bleak based on some tougher matchups the next eight weeks: at KC (20.5), BYE, vs. Jax (20.0), at Den (17.6), vs. Dal (28.5), vs. Cle (16.2), at LAC (21.1), and vs. Den (17.6). So he has the two toughest matchups in the league (Den and Cle) three times in his next eight, but all tougher matchups other than Dallas, per Hansenās Week 7 Players to Trade/Trade For.
šø Best Bets
Cam Skattebo over 13.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet365). Denver allows the ninth-most receiving yards per game to running backs (39.3) and gave up 29+ yards to lead backs in each of its first five games. Skattebo led Tracy in route share last week (49% to 18%), and heās topped 14 receiving yards in three of four losses, per Brolleyās Best Bets Week 7.
J.K. Dobbins over 58.5 rushing yards (-118, MGM). New York allows a league-high 6.1 yards per carry and the sixth-highest success rate (58%) on man blocking runs. 58% of Dobbins runs are off man-blocking concepts. Dobbins went over 63 yards in Weeks 1-5 before last weekās down game (14/40 rushing), per Barfieldās Best Bets Week 7.
Week 7 TD Props per Kelleyās Paulās Props and Touchdowns: Week 7:
Rashee Rice (+130, Bet365)
Justin Jefferson (+140, DK)
š Quick Hitters
Searching for quick data? Read: Five Stats To Know: 2025 Week 6.
Locking in on weekly game breakdowns? Read: Week 7 Game Hub.
Want to stay up to date on the latest injuries? Read: 2025 Week 7 Injury Preview.
Curious about what teams the Fantasy Points staff chose this week? Read: 2025 Week 7 Staff Picks.
Looking to play some DFS this week? Read: Week 7 DFS Main Slate Breakdown.
Playing in DFS this week? Read: Week 7 Advanced Matchups.
Trying to find some coverage matchup advantages? Read: Week 7 DFS Coverage Shells.
Keeping tabs on dynasty players? Read: Dynasty Market Report: Week 7.
Love the battles happening in the trenches? Read: Scouting the OL/DL Matchups: Week 7.
Need to find some defensive props? Read: Defensive Player Prop Bets: Week 7.

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