Welcome to Week 13. Hope all of you had a great Thanksgiving weekend! I know we’ve already gotten 4 games from Week 13, and you likely have a good idea where your team is going to end up, but with 12 games left on the slate…it’s time to lock in.

Let’s go chase the playoffs.

I know this is old news, but I’m fairly confident this is the greatest thing I’ve ever seen. Jameis is a gift. Cherish him.

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The Everything Report Week 13

Scott Barrett reviews all the fantasy football usage from 2025 NFL Week 12, with everything you need to know for Week 13.

Is Jahmyr Gibbs going to single-handedly carry us to another championship victory? Jahmyr Gibbs’ late-season surge resembles last year’s league-winning run, with his usage jumping back to 20.2 XFP/G and a 65% snap share since Dan Campbell took over playcalling in Week 10. His target share has climbed each week (11.4% → 21.6% → 28.6%), reaching elite levels typically reserved for Christian McCaffrey–type backs.

Beyond volume, Gibbs is simply special - he ranks No. 1 all-time in RB career YPC (5.6) and leads all RBs this year in missed tackles forced per attempt and yards per touch. He’s averaged 26.3 FPG over his last 16 games and 36.7 in the top half of that sample. With Detroit pushing for a playoff spot, Gibbs should stay in this expanded role - and he’s a top-two fantasy asset the rest of the way.

What’s wrong with Saquon Barkley? Saquon Barkley’s down year is best explained by the collapse of his offensive line, not workload or bad luck; in four games with a relatively healthy unit, he averaged 85.5 rushing YPG and 18.6 FPG versus just 48.9 YPG and 12.8 FPG in all others. Touchdown variance has also hurt him - he’s 0-for-7 inside the 5, the only RB with 6+ such attempts and no scores - but that says more about blocking than Barkley.

In the short term, that limits upside, but a potential Lane Johnson return by Week 15 plus a soft playoff schedule (Raiders, Commanders, Bills) offers real hope. Because of that late-season window, and the potential for this offense can finally get things clicking as we move into the playoffs, he still profiles as a low-end RB1 the rest of the way.

Can a coaching change help Brock Bowers? Chip Kelly is out as the Raiders’ OC, with Greg Olson taking over playcalling - the same coordinator who previously featured Jared Cook and then converted Darren Waller into the focal point of the offense. That history gives us renewed optimism for Brock Bowers, who strangely hasn’t topped a 20% target share in two of his last three games despite doing so in 10 of 17 as a rookie.

Olson’s track record suggests a tighter, TE-centric approach that should get Bowers back on track. Even with three straight games under 15 PPR points, I’m holding firm on ranking him as a weekly top-3 TE.

Find league winners & more in The Everything Report Week 13.

Week 13 Starts/Sits

Graham Barfield lists the stats you need to help make your toughest lineup decisions for Week 13.

Start Breece Hall. This is easily the best outlook for Hall in several weeks. This spread (Falcons -2.5) implies a close game throughout, and this matchup is awesome. Atlanta is allowing the 10th-most YPC (4.2) and a league-high success rate allowed (54%). Hall has taken at least 16 touches in eight out of his last 9 games.

Start Devin Neal. Taking over for Kamara, the rookie has a chance to make an immediate impact - despite the Saints’ inability to run this year - because of his role in the passing game. He ran a route on 65% of the pass plays and had a 16% target share last week…but he will likely get vultured by Taysom Hill.

Start Brenton Strange. Strange led the Jaguars with 5/93 receiving in his first game back from a hip injury and has been highly efficient all year. In his six full games, he’s turned 27 targets into 24/275 (55 YPG, TE8) and has earned at least a 17% target share in three straight while leading the team in YPRR vs both zone and man coverage.

Sit Alec Pierce and Michael Pittman. Pierce was held in check for just one catch of 26 yards while Pittman turned his eight targets into 5/27/1 receiving vs. Chiefs. There isn’t a more difficult matchup out there for opposing outside wide receivers. Houston is allowing a league-low in yards and fantasy points per game to perimeter WR. The Texans also don’t get beat deep often (29% completion rate on throws over 20+ air yards – fifth-lowest).

Sit Jordan Addison. While he has a few uncharacteristic drops, McCarthy’s connection with Addison has been really bad. He’s targeted Addison 23 times over the last month for a 7/103/1 receiving result. Addison has slid all the way down to WR39 by FPG.

Sit Terry McLaurin. Welcome back! After another long layoff due to a quad injury, McLaurin returns to face Patrick Surtain…brutal. Wait a week on this one if you can.

Read the full article for advice on who to start & sit throughout the entire Week 12 slate.

San Francisco 49ers (24%) @ CLE. Are you fully bought in on Shedeur Sanders? Even if you are, it’s probably smart to bank on some turnovers vs this Robert Saleh’s defense. This is a much different team than the Raiders Cleveland faced, and if Sanders is forced to drop back more than last week (just 11/20 passing vs LV), mistakes could (should) happen, per Drake’s Week 13 Streaming D/STs.

Could this be a breakout moment for Adonai Mitchell? Mitchell is an ideal leverage play this week, matching up with a Falcons defense that runs single-high at the league’s highest rate - a look against which he ranks top-four in TPRR (0.35) with a massive efficiency boost and nearly triple the YPRR compared to two-high.

He’s also been elite against the blitz (4.68 YPRR, 2nd-best), which Atlanta deploys at the NFL’s second-highest rate. With 179 air yards last week and season-long elite first-read volume (~35.5%) and strong XFP (~WR16), his ceiling is far higher than his salary suggests in DFS, per Heath’s Week 13 Advanced Matchups.

Shadow Alert! Colts CB Sauce Gardner vs Texans WR Nico Collins. Gardner has been excellent in his first two games with the Colts, allowing just 4 catches for 51 yards on 10 targets across 75 coverage snaps, including limiting Drake London to 26 yards. But his toughest test comes against Nico Collins, who has torched Indianapolis for 358 yards on 22 catches over his last three meetings and continues to see heavy volume whether it’s Stroud or Mills under center.

You’re not benching Collins in season-long, but the matchup is tough enough to give Jayden Higgins a small boost as an interesting DFS pivot, per Dolan’s Week 13 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.

Trends & Trades

Players to trade/trade for, risers & fallers & more

If your trade deadline hasn’t passed yet, here are some options moving towards the playoffs:

Buy Kenneth Walker. His usage has been very good the last 2-3 games, but he’s not going off, so his value hasn’t risen much, making him a great last-minute target with a solid upcoming schedule: vs. Min (22.6), at Atl (29.6), vs, Ind (27.6), vs. LAR (18.7), and at Car (30.9), per Hansen’s Week 13 Players to Trade/Trade For.

Sell Emeka Egbuka. Egbuka has been struggling along with the whole offense, and part of the problem could be how he’s been quickly cast as a #1 WR. But the biggest issue is probably Baker Mayfield and his struggles. Egbuka is only the WR38 in FPG the last six weeks and he’s 39th in total scoring, so you are selling low. But there’s a decent chance that Mayfield’s shoulder is an issue all year, or for at least the next month, so this could be a rare case of selling low before the bottom drops out, per Hansen’s Week 13 Players to Trade/Trade For.

Should you move Kyren Williams? A negative game script played a huge role in Williams’s busting in Week 12 (5.8 fantasy points). The bigger issue is that over the Rams’ last 5 games, they’ve attempted just 11 rush attempts inside the 5-yard line (27.3% TD rate), versus 16 pass attempts (75.0% TD rate). Kyren has averaged 14.1 FPG in that span, but his fantasy ceiling is clearly capped with this offensive scheme near the goal line. Williams has the 2nd-hardest ROS schedule and the 2nd-hardest playoff schedule among RBs, per Menton’s Trading Guide: Week 13.

Outlook: Shop around based on the Rams offensive scheme and continual usage of Blake Corum (Example: Jaylen Waddle or Chris Olave)

💸 Best Bets

• Devin Neal over 16.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet365). Neal stepped into Alvin Kamara’s role last week, catching 5 of 7 targets for 43 yards and posting a strong 64% route share. Facing a Miami defense that allows the sixth-most receiving yards to running backs and with the Saints as 5.5-point underdogs, he’s set up for another high-volume receiving day, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 13.

• Must play TD Props per Kelley’s Paul’s Props and Touchdowns: Week 13:

  • RJ Harvey (+105, FD)

  • Kenneth Walker (+130, DK)

• Need to find some defensive props? Read: Defensive Player Prop Bets: Week 13.

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