1. The Everything Report 🔥

2. Starts/Sits👨‍🍳

3. Trends & Trades 📈

4. Best Bets 💸

The Everything Report

Emerging Players

Can you start Drake Maye? Maye failed to reach 18.5 FP in his first full game as a starter last week, though it was a bad matchup on paper and Chicago never forced NE to press on offense. Maye has played about 14 full quarters of football this season, averaging 51.8 rushing yards (~QB2) and 19.6 fantasy points per four quarters (~QB10). Scott likes Maye in a more favorable matchup this week as a low-end QB1.

Chase Brown takeover. Brown continued his showcase as an uber-bell cow on TNF last week, setting new season-highs in snap share (88%) and route share (73.3%) while earning the most targets of any RB in any game this season (11). His backfield competition Khalil Herbert played only two snaps, fumbling the only handoff he got. You can expect even more RB1 performances out of Brown moving forward. With usage like this (would-be record-breaking 27.5 XFP/G), Brown could legitimately be a top-6 RB rest of the season.

George Pickens eruption. In three games with Russel Wilson, Pickens averages 82.5 YPG (~WR5), 3.00 YPRR (~WR4) and 16 FPG (~WR14) on a 31.6% first-read target share (~WR15). As we’ve been saying, he’s a massive positive regression candidate poised to explode. It could happen this week vs BAL, who have a +8.9 schedule-adjusted FPG allowed to opposing outside WRs.

Find more league winners in Scott Barrett’s Week 11 Everything Report.

📺 Podcast Corner

Recent episodes from the Fantasy Points team 👇

• CMC Returns, Cowboys funeral & more. Listen: The Fantasy Points Podcast

• Early All-Pro Teams, Champs & Chumps & more. Listen: NFL First Read

• ARich returns, De’Von Achane the Unicorn & more. Listen: School of Scott

• How to trade & rebuild in Dynasty. Listen: Dynasty Points

• Sharp Week 11 Wagers. Listen: NFL Best Bets

Listen to the Fantasy Points Podcast Network anywhere you get your podcasts!

Starts/Sits

Week 11 Decisions

Graham Barfield helps you make the toughest lineup decisions in Week 11.

Start Jauan Jennings. Last week, Jennings led the 49ers in targets (11) and routes (88% share) for 7/93 receiving as he took over the Aiyuk role. He earned 39% of the first-read targets followed by Pearsall (23%) and Samuel (19%). SEA is a solid match-up for Jennings…league winner potential is real.

Sit Brian Thomas Jr. The Jags offense is a disaster without Trevor Lawrence, and he’s at risk of being out the rest of the season. Between the tough matchup vs the Lions’ secondary and Mac Jones throwing him the ball, you should probably wait and see here.

Start Jakobi Meyers. Still underrated. In four games played without Adams on the field, Meyers leads the Raiders in targets and his first read target share of 36.8% is massive. He’s WR2 worthy, don’t sleep on Jakobi.

Sit Bears WRs. In seven games together, on a per-game basis, DJ Moore is the WR45, Keenan Allen WR60 and Rome Odune is WR86. Caleb Williams is struggling, and Chicago is a mess. Stay clear.

Stash Tyjae Spears. He looks like one of the most valuable handcuffs in fantasy. If Pollard were to miss time, Spears would become a volume-based RB2 at worst. The Titans have a solid O-Line and a great remaining schedule.

Read the full Week 11 Start/Sit article

ROS DST Target - Arizona Cardinals. They’re on BYE in Week 11, so nobody in your league will claim them…but you should. They’re the best DST schedule in the league post-bye: @ SEA, @ MIN, vs SEA, vs NE, @CAR, @ LAR. This unit is extremely under the radar but could lead you to a fantasy championship, per Drake’s Week 11 Streaming D/STs. 

Khalil Shakir week? The Chiefs are a slot funnel, tough against the outside but allowing the 6th most schedule-adjusted FPG (+2.0), the 2nd highest target share (38.3%) and the 4th most receiving yards (91.1) to opposing slots. Shakir has run 76.4% of his routes out of the slot this season (ranks top 10), per Heath’s Week 11 Advanced Matchups.

Shadow Alert! Patriots Christian Gonzalez vs Rams Puka Nacua. In a small sample size, Puka might have taken the Rams WR1 slot over Kupp, which is why we project he gets the shadow coverage. Puka’s stat lines are 7/106 and 9/98 in his two full games this season, with a 41.9% first-read target share. He also runs 78.5% of his routes from the perimeter, compared to just 31.4% for Kupp. Don’t expect a ceiling game from Puka this week, per Dolan’s Week 11 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.

Trends & Trades

Buy David Montgomery. The rest of Detroit’s opponents are mostly weak teams and offenses, which is an angle for Monty - he’ll help ice games they’re up early in. Detroit’s defense is playing well, so they’ll likely lean even more into their running game down the stretch. He also has two revenge games vs the Bears, which should be fun, per Hanesn’s Week 11 Players To Trade/Trade For.

Sell Lamar Jackson. If you’re in a scenario where you’re clawing for wins and can’t afford a loss, you have the potential to sell Lamar for positional value elsewhere. The Ravens still have a BYE coming in Week 14 and they play some tough defenses coming up. Maybe cast the line out there if you need some upgrades at RB or WR, per Hanesn’s Week 11 Players To Trade/Trade For.

Buy Jameson Williams. He returned to action after his two-game suspension, posting 3/53 on 5 targets vs the Texans - finishing with a 77% route share and 47.1% air-yard share. This week, the Jags deploy the third highest rate of man coverage (39.1%) - a coverage he destroys. They also give up the fourth most reciting YPG (117.8) to receivers out wide. With LaPorta injured, Williams could pop the rest of the way, per Brolley’s Week 11 Game Hub.

Check the price on Calvin Ridley. In three games since Hopkins was traded, Ridley has averaged a 34% target share, 100 receiving YPG and 20.4 FPG - which would rank as the overall ~WR1, ~WR2 and ~WR3, respectively. He did it with Levis, he did it vs a bad matchup, and now he has a favorable schedule for the rest of the season…seeing the Jags twice. It’s probably too late to buy low on him, but do it if the price is lower than a high-end WR2, per Heath’s Five Stats To Know From Week 10.

💸 Best Bets

• Bijan Robinson over 24.5 receiving yards (-120, Bet 365). He’s hit 25+ receiving yards in 4 straight games. DEN allows the 5th most receiving YPG (43.8) to RBs, and they’ve allowed 37+ yards to 4 RBs in the last 3 games, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 11.

• Tee Higgins over 50.5 receiving yards (-125, Fanatic). Before the injury, Higgins had 60+ yards in four straight games. The Bengals own the 8th-best pass grade of the week against the Chargers, who have the 7th-worst pressure rate in the league. If Higgins gets through the game, this should be easy, per Kelly’s Paul’s Props Week 11.

• George Pickens 100+ receiving yards (+280, DK). Pickens has been great since Wilson took over, and the Ravens are a great matchup. Positive regression is coming, and the game script should be in our favor, per Spags’ Prop Bets Week 11.

Curious about IDP action? Read Justin Varnes’ IDP Prop Bets for Week 11.

📖 Quick Hitters

• Wondering why the FP team is excited about Drake Maye & Calvin Ridley? Read: The Market Report Week 11.

• Looking for injury info on LaPorta, Kincaid & more? Read: Week 11 Fantasy Injury Preview.

• Trying to go all-in on your dynasty season? Read: Going ‘All-In’ In Dynasty.

• Want to know who’s trending up and down in dynasty? Read: Dynasty Market Report: 2024 Week 11.

• Curious what the best OL/DL matchups are? Read: Scouting The OL/DL Matchups: Week 11.

• Not sure who to take in Week 10? Read: 2024 Week 11 Staff Picks.

• Need some DFS help? Read: Week 11 DFS Main Slate Breakdown.