1. The Everything Report 🔥

2. Starts/Sits👨‍🍳

3. The Market Report 📈

4. Best Bets 💸

The Everything Report

League Winners & Breakouts

Josh Allen is Superman. He scored 51.9 fantasy points in Week 14, the most by any QB in any game all-time, surpassing George Blanda’s 49.7 in Week 11 of 1961. If Buffalo’s defense was as bad as Baltimore’s (giving up a league-high 283.6 passing YPG), Allen might be out-scoring Lamar. In games where Allen needs to be Superman, he delivers - averaging 31.6 DK FPG in games decided by 4 or fewer points. In all other games, he averages 23.2 DK FPG.

Stock up for Tyrone Tracy. For most of the season, the Giants have stupidly refused to deploy converted WR Tyrone Tracy into a pass-catching role. That finally changed in Week 14, with Tracy seeing career-highs in route share (66.1%) target share (16.3%), overall snap share (83.8%) and XFP (20.9). He’s averaging 13.3% target share (~RB5) over the last three games. He sits squarely in the top-18 RB territory for the rest of the year, and he should emerge as a Week 1 every-down bell cow in 2025…breakout coming in Year 2.

Puka is game-breaking. Puka Nacua is a league-winner and an easy top-3 WR in dynasty. He’s scored at least 17.3 fantasy points in 6 of 6 games over a 35% snap share, averaging 25.7 DK FPG over that span (~WR1). In those games, he’s out-targeted Kupp 67 to 47, averaging 22.1 XFP to Kupps 15.2. Kupp is a high-end WR2 ROS, but Puka will win fantasy championships.

Find more league winners in Scott Barrett’s Week 15 Everything Report.

📺 Podcast Corner

Recent episodes from the Fantasy Points team 👇

• Fantasy Playoff First Round Preview. Listen: The Fantasy Points Podcast

• Bills vs Lions & Week 15 Big Game Previews. Listen: NFL First Read

• Fantasy Playoffs Winners, Losers & Sleepers. Listen: School of Scott 

• Buy Brian Thomas Jr & How To Value Jordan Addison. Listen: Dynasty Points

• Sharp Week 15 Wagers. Listen: NFL Best Bets

Listen to the Fantasy Points Podcast Network anywhere you get your podcasts!

Starts/Sits

Week 15 Decisions

Graham Barfield helps you make the toughest lineup decisions in Week 15.

Start Malik Nabers. This is an awesome matchup for Nabers to get loose again - he hasn’t finished better than WR23 in weekly scoring since Week 4, but Baltimore is giving 124.5 yards per game to opposing outside receivers (second-most).

Sit Tank Dell. With his quarterback playing so poorly overall, Dell was held in check for just one catch for 23 yards versus Jacksonville in Week 13. It was a pristine matchup, but this offense runs through Nico Collins. Dell is just a WR4.

Start Rico Dowdle. His snaps have increased (47%, 64%, 71%, 76%) in four straight games and Dowdle has 362 scrimmage yards over his last three games. The Panthers allow a league-high 138.6 rushing yards per game.

Sit DeVonta Smith. Since Week 6, he’s the WR57 in targets per game (4.6). He made the most of his minimal volume in a good matchup last week, but he’s a low-volume WR3 vs the Steeler’s great slot receiver defense.

Read the full Week 15 Start/Sit article or watch the YT version below!

Washington Commanders (16%) vs NO . They’re not a great unit, but it’s a great matchup. Jake Haener is assumingly getting the start, so we’re hoping the Commanders run up the score and force the Saints to make mistakes, per Drake’s Week 15 Streaming D/STs.

Keep an eye on Marvin Mins. He erupted for 3/105/1 receiving on 4 targets the last time out vs the Browns showing his elite speed. He’s posted 44+ receiving yards in three straight games and racked up 9 carries over his last four games. The Colts allow the eighth most receiving YPG and the 15th most receptions on targets of 20+ air yards, per Brolley’s Week 15 Game Hub.

Shadow Alert! Steelers Joey Porter Jr vs Eagles AJ Brown. The Eagles have dealt with some drama in the media this week after AJ Brown mentioned the passing game needs to be better…but there’s good news. Under Sirianni, the Birds have operated with the ‘squeaky wheel’ narrative - feeding players who are unhappy. Despite the shadow matchup, AJ Brown should be a WR1 off targets alone, per Dolan’s Week 15 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.

Market Report & Bets

Upgrade - Jordan Addison. He leads the Vikings in targets, aDOT, air yards share, TPRR, YPRR, first-read target rate, end zone targets and FP/RR over the last month. He’s scored five TDs in that window. Addison is likely a top WR2 with weekly WR1 upside the rest of the season.

Downgrade - Alvin Kamara. He’s no longer win-your-league great. Kendre Miller is getting some run and took a goal-line TD from Kamara. With Derek Carr on the shelf, this offense is cooked. Kamara might get some decent volume so he won’t kill you…but it probably won’t be fun.

Upgrade - Zach Charbonnet. Kenneth Walker has now missed three games this season. In those games, Charbonnet has been utilized as a true workhorse, seeing 19,22 and 29 RB opportunities. It seems the best pure handcuff in the league is Charbonnet in Seattle…treat him as a surefire RB1 if Walker misses more games.

Downgrade - Jayden Reed. Green Bay has transitioned to the Josh Jacobs show, limiting Reed’s touches. He’s run 17 or fewer routes six times this season, three times in the last four games. He hasn’t reached 4+ receptions in six of his last seven games and has fallen short of double-digit FP five times in that span.

Read the full Week 15 Market Report to get the pulse of the NFL.

💸 Best Bets

• Tyrone Tracy over 14.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet365). He has 28+ receiving yards in 3 games since the bye and just had a season-high 66% route share in Week 14. Baltimore allows the 5th most receiving YPG (42.8) to RBs, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 15.

• Trey McBride over 57.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet MGM). Only two different TEs have topped 57 yards against the Pats this season but they haven’t faced many good TEs. McBride has 70+ yards in four straight games and in six of his last eight, per Kelly’s Paul’s Props Week 15.

• Mike Williams over 1.5 receptions (-120, DK). No Pickens is good news for Williams. They’ll likely need to air it out more often vs the Eagles this week, and Williams led the team in Week 14 with four targets. He should hit this one, per Spags’ Prop Bets Week 15.

Curious about IDP action? Read Justin Varnes’ IDP Prop Bets for Week 15.

📖 Quick Hitters

• Trying to target some defensive matchups? Read: Week 15 Advanced Matchups.

• Is Brock Purdy just a weapons merchant? Read: Five Stats To Know: Week 14.

• Want to analyze the war in the trenches? Read: Scouting The OL/DL Matchups: Week 15.

• Curious about which players get a bump vs certain coverage shells? Read: DFS Coverage Shells Week 15.

• Looking for injury info on Bucky Irving and Ladd McConkey? Read: Week 15 Fantasy Injury Preview.

• Want to know who’s trending up and down in dynasty? Read: Dynasty Market Report: 2024 Week 15.

• Not sure who to take in Week 14? Read: 2024 Week 15 Staff Picks.

• Need some DFS help? Read: Week 15 DFS Main Slate Breakdown.