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"The Guru" John Hansen lists his favorite 2026 fantasy football player selections by position, with key stats from Fantasy Points Data.

Using a combination of value, production and role, infrastructure, and age and durability, Hansen has weeded out over 85% of the player pool, selecting 32 players he’s targeting in drafts this year, including…

QB Justin Herbert
In 2022, Tua Tagovailoa, with noticeable limitations and all, led the NFL in TD percentage (6.3%) and YPA (8.9), and in 2023, he led in passing yards (4624) under new Chargers OC Mike McDaniel. Herbert himself was also tied for 5th in rushing attempts (83) and second in rushing yards (498) last year, so we should be able to count on top-7 rushing production with the offense in the hands of two strong offensive minds who are run-oriented. He’s only the eighth or ninth QB off the board this summer, but with better health around him this year, he should slice and dice NFL defenses, continue to rush the ball 5-6 times a game, and post top-7 fantasy digits.

RB Chase Brown
The Bengals did absolutely nothing in the backfield in the offseason, so Brown is 100% locked into a large role. He’s about the 10th back off the board, but our projections have him sixth in targets, receptions, and receiving yards, and he’s been a decent rushing TD guy with 13 in two seasons and a rushing score in three of his last five games last year. Expectations for the offense are high this season, so Brown could rack up more rushing TDs than expected, and his receiving work keeps his floor more than palatable.

WR DeVonta Smith
Smith now takes the reins of the “No. 1” receiver role, which is notable because he was only 38th among 104 WRs/TEs with 50 or more targets in TPRR in 2025 (A.J. Brown was 10th), yet Smith was 20th in receptions with 77 (Brown was 18th). Respected new OC Sean Mannion’s offense would have to completely flop for it to be as bad as the 2025’s Eagles offense was, so Smitty is getting an upgraded coaching staff and role in 2026.

TE Sam LaPorta
LaPorta is coming off an injury-marred season, but considering his high-end ability and a limited target tree in Detroit, he could be the best TE value on the board this year. If healthy, he should match his 76.8% route share from ‘25, since the Lions have added only veteran slot receiver Greg Dortch this offseason (and they lost veteran slot receiver Kalif Raymond). In 18 career games with a route share of 75% or higher, LaPorta has averaged 15.9 FPG, which would have been good for TE2 in FPG last season.

Read the full article HERE for more of Guru’s Guys, including some 200+ ADP deep dives.

The Fantasy Points staff discloses its favorite players to draft at any price in 2026 best ball fantasy drafts on Underdog and DraftKings.

QB Josh Allen
ADP: Round 4, QB1 (Underdog)
Sure, Allen’s safety, consistency, floor, and median are all great — he’s finished (counting backward) as the QB1, QB2, QB1, QB2, QB1, and QB1 by FPG over the last six fantasy seasons. But that almost pales in comparison to his legitimately unrivaled weekly ceiling — he averages 41.7 FPG over his seven best games over the last three seasons (versus Lamar Jackson’s 34.2 or Patrick Mahomes’ 29.4). He needs to have one of those games only once during the tournament rounds to be a “nearly impossible to advance without player.”

RB Blake Corum
ADP: Round 8, RB34 (Underdog)
The floor case for Corum is attractive by itself, as he worked his way into a 60-40 rushing split with Kyren Williams by Week 7 through the end of the season last year. But the main reason why you should draft Corum in the 8th round is the ceiling case. There are exactly two RBs who have rushed for 1100+ yards and 10+ TDs in each of the last three seasons — Derrick Henry and… Kyren Williams! Corum is mostly a zero in the passing game, but if Kyren were to go down for any stretch of games, Corum would instantly become a top-5 RB on rushing upside alone.

WR Christian Watson
ADP: Late Round 5, WR27 (Underdog)
Watson is coming off career-highs in receptions per game (3.5), receiving YPG (61.1), and FPG (13.2, WR17) after missing the first seven games to recover from an ACL injury. The Packers put their trust in him by extending his contract and thinning out their WR corps, letting Romeo Doubs walk, and trading Dontayvion Wicks. A lack of significant playing opportunities has held Watson back, but he’s poised to easily clear his career-bests in route share (68%) and routes/game (22.9), which he set last season.

TE George Kittle
ADP: Round 11, TE9 (Underdog)
Every outlook from the medical community believes Kittle will be healthy for Week 1 (and likely play in Week 2), so it’s possible you’re getting a top-3 TE at a 5-round discount. In half-PPR, Kittle scored 15+ FP 42.9% of the time (1st amongst all TEs) and 20+ FP 11.9% (4th, but close with Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, and Travis Kelce amongst TEs) of the time since 2023. Even if you get half that production, it’s worth the cost.

Read the full article HERE for more best ball values, including some mid-round WRs who could be their team’s WR1.

Analyzing the correlation between short and deep wide receiver routes and fantasy football production, highlighting 2026 targets and fades.

Length matters. In terms of route depth, that is…

By Half-PPR scoring, WRs with a more shallow route tree average 11.5 FPG, while the deep threats average just 8.7 FPG. That’s likely because a WR’s Target Per Route Run rate (TPRR) goes from 27% to 12% on short routes compared to deep routes. With that in mind, Zain Dhanani highlighted some players to target and fade based on their route tree…

Targets:

Garrett Wilson
Wilson has boasted a 45%+ short-route share for three years in a row while producing useful weeks 57% of the time in 2025, the highest rate on the entire targets list. He’ll also benefit from a QB upgrade in Geno Smith (see below), and even with the combination of Justin Fields and Tyrod Taylor in 2025, Wilson averaged 15.7 FPG (~WR5) in the five games before he injured his knee last year.

Rashee Rice
Rice has the most extreme short profile among the top-100 WRs by ADP. He did not have a single game in which he ran 25%+ of his routes deep, and we know how sticky roles are year-to-year from earlier. In 2025, Patrick Mahomes averaged 22.3 ATT/G within 9 yards of the LOS, and Rice runs 62% of his routes inside that depth. In an 8-game 2025 sample, Rice hit useful weeks 50% of the time and spike weeks 50% of the time — the highest spike rate of any target on this list.

Fades:

Jordan Addison
Addison is squarely in the 12+ ADOR zone, which, coupled with a sub-20% TPRR, is brutal for fantasy. His career useful-rate (10+ fantasy points) trajectory is 44% (2023) → 33% (2024) → 14% (2025), with spike rates (15+ fantasy points) going from 12% → 13% → 0%. He didn’t earn a single top-12 weekly WR finish in 2025. While his brutal 2025 owes in part to JJ McCarthy’s struggles, Addison’s spike rates were still low in 2023 and 2024, when he had much better QB play.

Courtland Sutton
Sutton’s 12.28 ADOR could get deeper in 2026. He hit useful weeks 41% of the time in 2025, but spike weeks only 12% of the time. That’s below many WRs currently being drafted around him (DK Metcalf, Michael Pittman Jr., Chris Godwin Jr., and Quentin Johnston), even when he had the benefit of being the Broncos’ clear WR1. Then Denver traded for Jaylen Waddle, who immediately adds the separation and underneath juice this offense was missing.

Read the full article HERE for more insight on route depth, as well as more players to target and fade.

Betting expert Tom Brolley examines the odds for the NFL's Receiving Touchdowns Leader for the 2026 season, with a best bet and leans.

Brolley’s Best Bets:

Tee Higgins (+2000, BetMGM)
Higgins missed seven games over the last two seasons, but ranks fourth in receiving TDs (21) and behind only Davante Adams in receiving TDs/game (.78) in that span. He was also tied for seventh with 12 end-zone targets last season, which came a year after he led the league with 1.25 EZ targets/game in 2024. The Bengals threw the second-most passing TDs (36) last season and have the fifth-highest implied team total at 25.5 PPG entering 2026. Higgins will stay busy at the goal line, and he just needs to stay healthy to vie for the touchdown crown.

Mike Evans (+4000, BetMGM)
Evans previously paced the league with 13 TDs at 30 years old in 2023, which was the sixth time in 12 seasons he reached 11+ TDs. Evans is still a matchup nightmare at all three levels of the field because of his size (6’5”, 231 pounds), speed, and physicality. He finished sixth in aDOT (14.1), eighth in TPRR (.28), and second in A.S.S. (.147) behind only Adams and just ahead of OPOY Jaxon Smith-Njigba. However, he ranked 67th in catchable target rate (67.8%) with Baker Mayfield struggling through injuries under one-and-done playcaller Josh Grizzard. Evans shouldn’t have the same issues with Purdy, who ranked fifth in catchable throw rate (78.9%) under Shanahan, whose passing game finished behind only the Patriots in success rate (54.2%).

Read the full article HERE for Brolley’s leans in this category, with insight on why he considered them, but ultimately passed.

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