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Jameson Williams and Week 2 Starts/Sits

Starts & Sits, DFS, Best Bets & more

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Welcome to Week 2. It’s time to take everything we learned in Week 1 and adapt to the new season. Overreactions, underreactions, risers and fallers… we’ve got you covered.

Let’s go get a W.

  1. Starts and Sits 🔥

  2. DFS Plays 👨‍🍳

  3. Best Bets 💸

  4. Podcast Corner 📺

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Market Check

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Starts/Sits

Week 2 Decisions

Jordan Mason // Getty Images

Graham Barfield helps you make the toughest lineup decisions in Week 1.

Must Start - Jordan Mason. He made the most of his opportunity by hammering the Jets for 152 scrimmage yards and a TD on 29 touches in Week 1, and now CMC is on the IR, which makes Mason a top-8 RB in Week 2. It’s not an easy match-up but trust SF.

Start ‘Em - Malik Nabers. This is a potential blow-up spot for Nabers despite his QBs horrific play. The Commanders just allowed 58.5 PPR points to Buccanneers’ wide receivers in Week 1, and Nabers is the only weapon the Giants have.

FLEX Play - Michael Pittman. The water is getting murky here for Pittman. Adonai Mitchell emerging and second-year WR Josh Downs coming back into the fold soon, but Pittman is still a worthy FLEX play. The volume isn’t safe, but the upside is still there.

Stream ‘Em - Baker Mayfield. Baker had a top-tier performance in Week 1 (289 yards, 4 TDs) and should be the top QB streaming option this week. The game had the highest over-under (51.5) in Week 2 and the Lions secondary looked beatable in Week 1.

Sit ‘Em - Diontae Johnson. Right now, Johnson is a WR4. He has the worst QB in the league and the vibes are horrendous around the Panthers. You likely have better options.

Stash ‘Em - Tank Bigsby. If something happens to Etienne, Bigsby is a league winner. He looked much improved during the preseason and had the best game of his young career in Week 1. His processing is improved - target him if you can.

J.K. Dobbins makes a statement. He made an early claim to be the Chargers lead back with a big performance in his first game back from a torn Achilles (10 carries, 135 yards, 1 TD, 3 catches). Edwards won’t go away, but he lacks the explosiveness Dobbins has and he’ll be a zero in the passing game. Kamara posted a 15/83/1 rushing and 5/27 receiving against the Panthers last week… fire up Dobbins, per Brolley’s Week 2 Game Hub.

Shadow Alert! Patriots CB Christian Gonzales vs. Seahawks WR DK Metcalf. DK had just 3 catches for 29 yards on 4 targets in Week 1 vs Broncos CB Pat Surtain. Last week, the Pats trusted second-year stud CB Gonzalez to follow Ja’Marr Chase, lining up against him on 90% of routes… and Chase struggled. These are two tough matchups to start the season for DK, so downgrade him to a WR3, per Dolan’s Week 2 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.

D/ST Starts

Brian Drake breaks down the top streaming options at D/ST. Two low-owned options 👇

Los Angeles Chargers (13%) vs. CAR - No brainer. Carolina is easily the worst offense in the NFL. Bryce Young was sacked four times in Week 1, and the offense turned the ball over three times. Believe in Harbaugh and the Bolts.

Indianapolis Colts (8%) vs. GB - The Indy defense is suspect, but they did have four sacks and a blocked kick vs HOU in Week 1. GB is starting Malik Willis - in three pro starts, he’s never thrown for a TD. His completion percentage is just over 50%. Fire up the Colts.

Fantasy players are typically too worried about overreacting to Week 1, and not worried enough about underreacting to Week 1.

Separate the signal from the noise - it’s vital to be proactive and act fast in fantasy.

Read this article and lay the foundation for your future Championship victory 👇

Scott Barrett’s Week 1 Fantasy Recap

DFS

King Kupp Returns

The most comprehensive dive into the 2024 NFL Week 2 DFS slate:

Cooper Kupp is back. In Week 1, he looked like he did in his historic 2021 season - 21 targets, 21 first-read targets, 14 catches, 110 yards and a TD… the most targets of any player in any game since 2015. In 2021, Kupp was $9,500 on DraftKings in Week 17. Now? he’s $7,600…an absolute smash in Cash, per Barrett’s Week 2 DFS Breakdown.

Derrick Henry flopped last week, but he’s the most gamescript-dependent player in fantasy football history. With Baltimore an 8.5-point favorite against the Raiders in Week 2, he’s in a smash spot. Henry has averaged +10.2 more FPG in wins than losses. After a low usage in Week 1, his ownership will likely be in the single digits, which makes him a great tournament play at $6,700, per Barretts Week 2 DFS Breakdown.

Rashee Rice looked great in week one, posting the 5th-highest first-read target share of the week (38%), and recorded the 2nd-most YAC (73), behind only Tyreek Hill. Despite his performance last year and great signs in Week 1, Rice is only priced as the slate’s WR12. The game offers the 3rd-highest point total in the main slate (48), and we know the KC/CIN matchup is always must-see TV. Huge DFS value as long as he’s under $7,800 on DraftKings, per Tribbey’s Week 2 DFS Early Look.

Coverage Shells & Analytics

Can Jameson Williams build on his great Week 1? Williams ($5,300) finished as the WR5 and dominated the target share, first-read target share and total fantasy production. He’s had frustrating usage in his young NFL career, so we might need to see more before we trust Williams as a sustainable weekly option as the downfield vertical threat in a run-heavy offense. Almost 70% of his Week 1 production happened on 3 pressured targets with a 20 aDOT, per Spanola’s Week 2 Coverage Shells.

Jonathan Taylor might have an ideal game script in Week 2. The Colts are 3-point favorites against a Malik Willis-led Packers team - and Willis averages just 78 passing YPG across three full career games. In the last 19 games the Colts were favored since 2021, Taylor has averaged 18.3 FPG and 96.3 rushing YPG. The Packers allowed the 3rd-most rushing YPG (154.8) in losses last year, per Heath’s Week 2 Advanced Matchups.

Recommended Prop: Jonathan Taylor over 78.5 rushing yards (-120, DraftKings).

📺 Podcast Corner

Trades & Bets

Better Days Ahead

Chris Olave // NFL.com

Buy Chris Olave. His QB is hard to predict and project - Olave was 112th at WR in target percentage and he was 93rd out of 157 in first-read target share, which is absurd. The good news? Klint Kubiak’s offense was a hit, and he’s used to using alpha WRs (like Justin Jefferson), so good times are coming. If you can get him cheap, it should payoff down the road, per Hanesn’s Week 2 Players To Trade/Trade For.

Sell Davante Adams. In Week 1, Jakobi Meyers led the team in receiving yardage and Brock Bowers led the Raiders in targets with 8, two more than Adams. Bowers is fun, but it’s now a problem for Adams, who’s only been successful over the last few years due to massive volume from subpar QBs. If the volume dries up, this could get spooky, per Hansen’s Week 2 Players To Trade/Trade For.

Buy Keon Coleman. Rookies are often great bets to outperform their ADP expectation, especially in the second half of seasons, so you should be all in on rookies who show early signs of production - like Keon Coleman. In Week 1, he led the Bills with a 21.7% target share despite no other Bills player exceeding 13%. Target him in every league, even with his dud on TNF (bad game script), per Heath’s Five Stats To Know From Week 1.

Props & Odds

Jameson Williams over 44.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet365). Williams received 9 targets in Week 1, received 90% route share and crested a 70% snap share for the first time in a regular season game. TB has a banged-up secondary, so this looks like a spot to target, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 2.

Colby Parkinson over 26.5 receiving yards (-114, FD). Parkinson put up 47 yards against Detroit last week and should be heavily involved this week without Puka. Parkinson had an 84% route share in Week 1, and he’ll likely have some room to breathe with Arizona needing to worry about Kupp, per Kelly’s Paul’s Props Week 2.

Rashid Shaheed over 34.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet 365). The Cowboys deployed the third-most zone coverage in Week 1. Since the beginning of 2023, Shaheed has averaged 2.03 yards per route run vs. zone coverages, but only 1.47 YPRR vs. man coverage. The Saints should have to throw more this week, per Barfield’s Best Bets Week 2.

Justin Herbert 2+ Passing TDs (+140, DK). In Week 1, Carolina’s secondary gave up a 79.2% completion rate, a 12.5% passing TD rate and a 91.7% catchable target rate, according to Fantasy Points Data. The Chargers will establish the run, but there’s a chance Herbert gets in on the fun here, per Spags’ Prop Bets Week 2.

Curious about IDP action? Read Justin Varnes’ IDP Prop Bets for Week 2.

📱 Tweet of the Week

Did Arch Manning really beat Marvin Harrison’s top speed from Week 1?

Kyle Shanahan, public enemy number one.

Injury Report

Dr. Edwin Porras on relevant injuries and risk for Week 2.

Keenan Allen: Heel. Allen has been dealing with a heel injury since training camp and it seems to have been aggravated in Week 1, so the projection has him severely limited if active. He should return somewhere between Week 3-5, and you should target Rome Odunze and DJ Moore if you can.

Kenneth Walker III: Core/Groin. Projected to be out, highly risky if active. Should return somewhere between Week 3-5, so target Zach Charbonnet if you can.

Josh Downs: High Ankle. Not projected to play and don’t start him if he’s active due to massive hit in production. Downs should return for Week 3, and you should be targeting him in your leagues.

Read Dr. Edwin Porras’ article - updated through the 11:30am inactive here: Week 2 Injury Report.

As always, all this content and more is available at FantasyPoints.com.

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