
Welcome to Week 5. The first bye weeks are here, injuries are piling up, and somehow we're already two weeks into October. Fantasy football season moves fast.
…Unless you're a Cowboys fan. Then every week probably feels like an eternity.
Lineup decisions, trade targets, our best bets...let's get into it.
The worst punishment of all.
Inside Today’s Roundup:
The Everything Report 💯
Starts & Sits 🔥
Trends & Trades 📈
Best Bets 🤑
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🔥 The Everything Report Week 5
Ryan Heath and Graham Barfield review all the fantasy football usage from Week 4 with everything you need to know before Week 5.

📈 Kyren Williams Is Making Ryan Eat His Words
Kyren Williams is the RB5 in FPG (22.7), and Ryan Heath is officially taking the L. The concern entering the season was that Blake Corum's share of the backfield would cap Williams' ceiling. And while the rushing split hasn't really changed, Williams' high-value touches have taken a massive leap.
The biggest development is his receiving role. Williams' target share has jumped from 7.9% in 2025 to 15.2% in 2026, ranking around RB6. His route share is also up from 47.2% to 55.7%, while his 26% TPRR ranks 6th among RBs. For perspective, his career TPRR entering this season was just 14%. Matthew Stafford's increased reliance on checkdowns (9.9%, his highest rate since at least 2021) could help explain the spike in receiving work.
He's also handled all nine of the Rams' backfield opportunities inside the 10-yard line, up from a 67% share last year. Some touchdown regression is likely, but the receiving usage looks much more sustainable. Williams has gone from a supposedly capped-ceiling pick to a top-10 RB rest-of-season, roughly alongside Chase Brown and ahead of Javonte Williams and Chuba Hubbard.
🐆 The Jaguars' Success Is Hurting Their Fantasy Value
Trevor Lawrence is playing some of the best football of his career, but Jacksonville's offense isn't doing fantasy managers many favors. Lawrence ranks top-six in EPA/DB, CPOE, and catchable throw rate, while the Jaguars sit second in the NFL in point differential (+51). The problem? They're winning too comfortably to throw the ball.
Jacksonville has led on 78% of its offensive snaps, the highest rate in the league. That's contributed to a 26th-ranked PROE and the 30th-most plays per game, with Lawrence attempting no more than 29 passes in any contest. Despite ranking QB8 in fantasy points per dropback, he's just QB20 in expected fantasy points per game.
That lack of volume makes it tough to trust multiple Jaguars pass catchers each week. Brenton Strange took advantage of Cincinnati's vulnerable LB/S coverage in Week 4, but Parker Washington is positioned for a bounce-back against Philadelphia, which has allowed the sixth-most receiving YPG and ninth-most FPG to slot WRs. Until Jacksonville finds itself in more competitive games, expect the passing production to remain concentrated in one primary target each week.
🌸 Can Zay Flowers Survive Without Lamar Jackson?
Zay Flowers has been putting up ridiculous numbers with Lamar Jackson, averaging 9.0 targets, 176.5 receiving YPG, and 32.7 FPG when extrapolating their eight quarters together this season. Even his expected production (21.1 XFP per four quarters) would rank WR4. His slot rate has also jumped from 34.7% last year to 67.9%, putting him in the position where he's historically been most efficient.
The problem is Lamar's ankle injury. Jackson is unlikely to play in Week 5, leaving Tyler Huntley in line to start. Huntley has averaged just 168.7 passing YPG across seven full games since 2023, and Flowers managed only 46.5 receiving YPG in two games with him. Even when Jackson returns, his mobility could be compromised, potentially hurting the entire Baltimore offense.
Ryan's outlook is to lower expectations for the next 3-4 weeks, with Flowers potentially settling in as a high-end WR2 through October rather than the elite WR1 he's looked like alongside Lamar. But the long-term upside hasn't disappeared. If you can afford to ride out the rough stretch, Flowers could still be a difference-maker down the stretch.
Find more league winners in The Everything Report Week 5.
🔥 Week 5 Starts & Sits
Joe Dolan shares the info & stats you need to make your toughest Week 5 lineup decisions.
👑 Crown Sam LaPorta. The breakout finally arrived in Week 4, and the underlying usage says it should stick. LaPorta leads all TEs in routes run (143), ranks 4th in XFP/G (14.7), and has cleared a 75% route share in four straight games. Now he gets an Arizona defense allowing the 4th-most FPG to TEs. Keep him locked in.
🟢 Start Bayshul Tuten. Penalties erased two touchdowns and kept his Week 4 box score from getting out of hand, but the workload keeps growing. Jacksonville clearly trusts Tuten as its lead back in competitive games, and the Eagles just surrendered 36.7 FP to Kyren Williams. He's looking more like a weekly RB2.
🟢 Start Jacoby Brissett. Detroit has allowed the most FPG to opposing QBs, including four top-36 weekly performances in four games. Brissett ranks 9th in dropbacks per game, and Arizona will likely need to throw plenty to keep pace in a game with a 54.5-point total. Fire him up.
🟢 Start Matthew Golden. The breakout is hiding in plain sight. Golden has led Green Bay in route share every game this season and ranks as the WR12 in XFPG, despite underperforming that workload by 1.7 FPG. The opportunity is already there, and the production should catch up. Get him in your lineup against Chicago.
💎Stash TreVeyon Henderson. The rookie's efficiency has been ugly, ranking bottom-15 among RBs in rushing success rate, EPA per run, stuff rate, and yards after contact per run. But Rhamondre Stevenson is questionable with a knee injury, and Henderson could suddenly find himself handling an RB2-worthy workload if Stevenson sits. Worth holding while that situation plays out.
🔴 Sit Courtland Sutton. Sutton's biggest problem isn't getting open. He's already accumulated 150 uncatchable air yards (10th-most) and nine uncatchable targets (tied for 3rd-most). Sean Payton taking over playcalling might help, but until Bo Nix starts delivering catchable passes, Sutton belongs on the bench.
🔴 Sit Omarion Hampton. Things are getting crowded in the Chargers' backfield, and not in a good way. Hampton scored last week, but Keaton Mitchell outcarried him while Kimani Vidal played more snaps. With Los Angeles entering as an underdog against Denver, Hampton is looking increasingly touchdown-dependent. He's a FLEX at best, not someone you want to rely on as an RB2.
🔴 Sit Wan'Dale Robinson. Robinson's route share dropped to 66.7% in Week 4, tying his season low, while rookie Carnell Tate is emerging as a bigger part of Tennessee's passing attack. Houston has also allowed the fifth-fewest targets per route run to slot WRs, making Robinson a risky FLEX option this week.
Read the full article for advice on who to start & sit throughout the entire Week 5 slate.
New York Giants (5%) @ WAS. Don't look now, but the Giants are leading the NFC East and have recorded at least one interception in every game this season. Washington could be forced to start rookie Athan Kaliakmanis if Jayden Daniels isn't ready, and Kaliakmanis completed just 15 of 33 passes for 186 yards in relief of Marcus Mariota. Even without Brian Burns, New York has enough talent to take advantage of either an inexperienced rookie or a rusty Daniels, per Drake’s Week 5 Streaming D/STs.
Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta? Arizona runs two-high coverage at the NFL’s 2nd-highest rate (73.2%), which plays right into Detroit’s hands. No WR has a higher TPRR against two-high looks over the past three seasons than St. Brown (0.32), while LaPorta gets a 24% target-rate boost against those looks. The Cardinals also lead the league in Cover 6 usage (27.6%), a coverage LaPorta has shredded for 2.86 YPRR since last season. Arizona ranks as a top-5 schedule-adjusted matchup for QBs, WRs, and TEs, making the Jared Goff–St. Brown–LaPorta stack especially appealing this week, per Heath’s Week 5 Advanced Matchups.
Same time next week? Malik Nabers vs. Amik Robertson. Nabers finally started creating separation in Week 4, and Jameis Winston made sure it counted. Robertson has been Washington’s best corner, but he’s also allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per route run. Nabers has drawn six targets on just 10 routes against the blitz over his last two games with Winston, and Washington isn't afraid to send pressure. Add in a 29% target rate against two-high shells, and this matchup has the makings of a vintage Nabers eruption, per Vanek’s Week 5 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.
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📈 Trends & Trades
Players to buy and sell, risers, fallers & more.

Trevor Lawrence // Rich Story, Getty Images
Buy Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence is playing better than his fantasy numbers suggest, completing 69.2% of his passes while averaging 8.11 YPA and ranking top-six in EPA/DB, CPOE, and catchable throw rate. The problem is opportunity: he's just 25th in dropbacks (114). Jacksonville's defense and running game have kept him from having to do much heavy lifting, but that won't last forever. With a more favorable schedule after the Week 7 bye, Lawrence is an intriguing buy-low, per Hansen’s Week 5 Player Trade Recommendations.
Sell Ollie Gordon. Gordon handled 64% of Miami's backfield carries and earned an 11.8% target share, but those numbers look better than the actual workload. The Dolphins ran just 37 plays, leaving Gordon with nine carries and seven routes. One long run and a touchdown did most of the damage, and his role relative to Jaylen Wright remains unsettled. If someone in your league sees a breakout, it's worth seeing what they'll pay, per Hansen’s Week 5 Player Trade Recommendations.

Buy Drake London while you still can. Atlanta's Week 4 game script did him no favors, with Michael Penix Jr. attempting just 20 passes and the Falcons posting the league's lowest PROE (-12.3%). London still dominated the usage: 30% target share, 100% route share, and 33.3% first-read target share. He's also 3rd among WRs in YPRR (4.25) and 2nd in team yardage market share (48.2%). The production should catch up to the underlying numbers, per Menton’s Trading Guide: Week 5.
Trade Outlook: This might be your last chance to buy London for a price that won’t break the bank. (Example: Tee Higgins + Quinshon Judkins)
Cash out on Cam Skattebo before the Giants give you another headache. Skattebo had just a 52% carry share before Najee Harris' late fumble in Week 4, which handed him the final seven backfield carries. His 3.46 YPC ranks 37th, and his 1.29 YBCO/Att ranks 38th. With inconsistent receiving work and a coaching staff that won't commit to him, his fantasy value is riding on touchdowns and unpredictable usage, per Menton’s Trading Guide: Week 5.
Trade Outlook: The Giants' backfield is a weekly headache, and Skattebo's role is too unpredictable to trust. (Example: Cam Skattebo + Jaylen Waddle for Chuba Hubbard)
Need more buys and sells? Scott & Brett have you covered for Week 5.
💸 Best Bets
Braelon Allen over 69.5 rushing yards (-110, theSCORE Bet). Fantasy Points projects Allen for 79.2 rushing yards after he posted 145 yards on 14 carries last week despite the Jets running just 32 plays. Allen handled a 94% snap share, while Isaiah Davis didn't record a touch. Cleveland has allowed the 7th-most adjusted YBC/ATT (2.38), 6th-most YPC (4.77), and 8th-most rushing YPG (102.5) to RBs, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 5.
Bijan Robinson over 25.5 receiving yards (-114, FanDuel). Fantasy Points projects Robinson for 36.5 receiving yards, making this an appealing buy-low after he totaled just 21 receiving yards across Atlanta's last two blowout wins. A more competitive game should bring more receiving opportunities, and Robinson cleared 25 yards in 8 of 9 games with Michael Penix Jr. at QB last season, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 5.
Must-play Sunday props, per the Guru’s Best Bets Week 5.
Kendrick Bourne over 23.5 receiving yards (-114, FD)
Malik Washington over 41.5 receiving yards (-111, DK)
📖 Quick Hitters
Locking in on weekly game breakdowns? Read: 2026 Week 5 Game Hub
Keeping tabs on dynasty players? Read: Dynasty Market Report: Week 5
Researching who to use in DFS? Read: Week 5 DK/FD DFS Main Slate Early Look
Curious about what teams the Fantasy Points staff chose this week? Read: 2026 Week 5 NFL Staff Picks
Looking to play some hidden gems this week? Read: 2026 Week 5 DFS Coverage Shells
Love the battles happening in the trenches? Read: Scouting the OL/DL Matchups: Week 5
Need more information at all times? Read: Data Charter Notes: Week 4
Go attack Week 5…it’s time to get a W.
See you guys on Tuesday 🤝
- Sean
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