In partnership with
Tomorrow is the first day of summer! While others are busy soaking up the sun, planning road trips, and having social lives, you’re grinding the tape, crunching the numbers, and planning out your 2026 draft strategy. That’s what winners do.
Fortunately for you, the sickos here at Fantasy Points are doing the same.
Our 2026 season projections, dynasty rankings, and best ball rankings are LIVE! They’re updated weekly to ensure you have the latest information and insights at your fingertips.
Must-read Fantasy Points content today:
QB Stats 📊
Small Samples 🧐
Player Futures 💰
OTA News Tracker ✍️
Subscribe NOW for exclusive access to our offseason content!
Subscribers, join our Discord for live Q&As, news updates, analysis & more!
Thanks for joining us, let’s get after it.
— Marcus
Sponsor
200 Ways To Make Money With AI
Turns out, AI is good for more than writing emails and generating LinkedIn posts. This guide is packed with 200+ actionable ways to build income with AI.
Inside you'll discover:
200 curated AI income ideas for beginners and pros alike
Easy-to-start opportunities you can launch this week
Real world applications for today’s top AI tools
AI powered business models built for today’s economy
Creative ways to turn trends into revenue
AI is changing how people work and how people earn, far beyond the simple “write me an email” prompt. Discover the possibilities and download the free guide to start cashing in today.
2026 Fantasy Football QB Stats: What Matters
Ryan Heath examines what quarterback stats are most predictive of future fantasy football success and applies them to 2026 drafts.
While there are tons of individual stats Heath tested in the graphic above, we can broadly group them into a few categories:
1A. Rushing volume and production
1B. Prior fantasy scoring
*Tier Break*
2. Real-life results
3. Everything else
…So which QBs should you draft based on the most predictive stats?
Kyler Murray
In the five-game sample we got last year, Murray’s 5.8 rush attempts/game (6th-most) and 34.6 rushing YPG (3rd-most) were both the most he’s posted since 2022. Additionally, he ranked 3rd in scramble YPG (28.4). The “real-life results” bucket is where Murray gives many of us pause. But understand that Kevin O’Connell has gotten exemplary play out of every veteran QB he’s ever gotten his hands on:
Bo Nix
Nix averaged 5.3 rush attempts/game (~QB8) and 20.3 scramble YPG (~QB11) last year, including the postseason. And from a real-life results perspective, among the last five rookie classes, only Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels, and Brock Purdy have averaged more EPA/DB than Nix through their first two seasons. He also boasts the best career pressure-to-sack ratio over the last five years, topping a list containing three future first-ballot Hall of Famers!
Justin Herbert
Herbert ranked 6th among QBs in rushing YPG (31.1, ahead of Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson), 1st in scramble yards (439, ahead of Drake Maye), and tied for 5th in total rush attempts (83, ahead of Caleb Williams). Yet he’s being drafted at least a round later on Underdog than all three of those other QBs.
Herbert also gets to play under new OC Mike McDaniel, who engineered a season in which Tua Tagovailoa led the NFL in passing yards (4,624) and ranked 2nd in ANY/A (7.48), while the offense posted the 3rd-most in yards per play (6.4) of any team over the past five years. But even more impactful will be the return of LT Joe Alt:
Read the full article HERE for more names to target at QB.
5 Small Samples to Guide 2026 Fantasy Drafts
Identifying five small-sample statistics from the 2025 NFL season to make actionable 2026 fantasy football draft recommendations.
After examining five partial seasons he believes are meaningful, Akash Bhatia has some takes…
Buy Parker Washington.
After Week 10, Jacksonville ranked 2nd-best in EPA/DB (up from just 25th across the first 10 weeks of the season), and Washington was the clear engine of this more-efficient offense. Despite missing Week 14, Washington led the team in yards (624), with Jakobi Meyers a distant second (454). Washington only ran 72.7% of routes during this stretch, but still dominated usage with:
0.26 TPRR (~WR12)
31.9% air yardage share (a team-high)
25.5% 1st Read % (tied with Meyers as leading the team)
Colston Loveland is ELITE.
From Weeks 10-13, plus Chicago's two playoff games (the stretch in which Loveland, Rome Odunze, and Luther Burden all operated in starter-level roles), Loveland led the team with 365 receiving yards and posted a 2.34 YPRR, while earning first-read targets on 22.5% of his routes. For context, Brock Bowers led all rookie TEs over the past five years with a 2.12 YPRR, and he’s also the only rookie to exceed a 23% first-read target share over that stretch.
Don’t overlook Rome Odunze.
During this same sample, Odunze matched Loveland with a 22.5% first-read rate despite playing through a foot injury that limited his practice workload and effectiveness in games. More importantly, Odunze led the team with 0.48 xFP/RR. Plus, when healthy earlier in the season, his usage profile was even more impressive—from Weeks 1-8, Odunze commanded a 27.5% first-read rate and produced 2.21 YPRR.
Read the full article HERE for takes about Justin Herbert, Harold Fannin, and Kyle Pitts.
Guru's Best Bets: 2026 NFL Player Futures
After going 11-4 on player futures last season, "The Guru" John Hansen breaks down his favorite NFL player props for 2026.
The Overachievers:
Justin Herbert OVER 3574.5 Regular Season Passing Yards (-110, DraftKings)
As previously mentioned, Herbert has his star OTs back along with a fully stocked receiving corps with 6-7 strong options for new OC Mike McDaniel, who has been elite at scheming up big plays. Herbert was 7th in catchable throw percentage last year despite their decimated OL, so with better health around him this year, he should consistently slice and dice NFL defenses and garner serious MVP consideration.
David Montgomery OVER 774 Regular Season Rushing Yards (-110, DraftKings)
He’s hit this number in all five seasons in which he’s reached 200+ carries. Houston was a 12-win playoff team last season with a struggling QB and has arguably the best defense in the league, so the durable Montgomery should easily clear 200 totes.
The Underachievers:
Trey McBride UNDER 999.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards (−110, DraftKings)
Last year, the Cards used 12 personnel on 28.86% of their offensive snaps, higher than the league average of 21.79%, but new HC Mike LaFleur is a good bet to run a lot more 3-WR sets than last year with Marvin Harrison Jr., Michael Wilson, and new addition Kendrick Bourne. McBride’s volume is also going to take a hit with rookie Jeremiyah Love likely getting 275+ opportunities, including 50+ targets. Finally, McBride’s production may be compromised if the team decides to evaluate rookie QB Carson Beck late in the season, which seems likely.
Drake London UNDER 1149.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards (−110, DraftKings)
It’s a new system for everyone, including Tua Tagovailoa, who averaged only 190 passing yards per game in Miami last year. We’ll probably also see Michael Penix, who was somehow only 62nd in the NFL last year in Catchable Throw Percentage and dead last among 29 QBs with 300+ dropbacks.
Read the full article HERE for more overs and unders to target in 2026.
2026 NFL OTA News Tracker
Tom Brolley gathers and breaks down the latest actionable fantasy football intel from NFL OTAs and minicamps.
The NFL is wrapping up “Phase Three” of the offseason—the final stage before contact practices begin with training camp in late July—so Tom Brolley went team by team to round up the most important fantasy headlines coming out of all 32 workouts. Here are a few to note…
Texas Tech transfer quarterback Brendan Sorsby will enter the NFL Supplemental Draft, which is yet another turn in this saga after he admitted to betting on college sports, including games involving his Indiana team in 2022. Sorsby had the potential to become a 2027 first-round pick before his betting scandal, and he’ll try to rebuild his stock as much as possible during his July 10 pro day. He should draw interest from multiple teams, including QB-needy ones like the Browns and Jets, but we’ll see what draft picks teams are willing to give up for the damaged prospect.
ESPN’s Nick Wagoner wrote that 2025 fifth-round pick Jordan James is the most likely to win the backup spot behind Christian McCaffrey. He’ll be in a training camp battle with third-round pick Kaelon Black and Isaac Guerendo for the valuable handcuff role in Kyle Shanahan’s prolific rushing offense. Shanahan said of James, “[He] came on really strong at the end of last year, but he missed so much in the beginning. He kind of just missed his window to pass some other people up. I wish I would have got him on the field more than I did…He needs to take that next step.”
The Denver Post reported that R.J. Harvey underwent surgery earlier this offseason to repair a torn labrum he suffered in the AFC Championship, which has limited his participation in workouts this spring. He could still be ready for the start of training camp since he’s been doing some work, but it’s another hit to Harvey’s stock heading into his second season. The Broncos gave J.K. Dobbins $8 million guaranteed in free agency before drafting Jonah Coleman in the fourth round.
David Blough said after he was hired as the offensive coordinator that he wanted to get Terry McLaurin 10 targets a game. McLaurin said in mandatory minicamp that he’s being used all over the field and on a variety of different route combinations in Blough’s new offense, which is going to use more under-center and play-action calls.
Check in HERE for the full tracker, which Brolley updated consistently throughout OTAs.
If Fantasy Points has helped you dominate your home league or win a bunch of cash in betting or DFS, we’d love to hear about it.
Fire out a tweet tagging @FantasyPts and/or @FantasyPtsData (somewhere in the body of the tweet — not at the very beginning), along with #ScoreMore, letting us know how we’ve helped.
The best testimonials will be featured on our site, and if that’s you, we’ll cover your subscription cost, give you a free upgrade, or send you some free swag from our store!
Thanks for helping us out!
— the Fantasy Points team
As always, all this content and more is available at FantasyPoints.com.
REMINDER: If you’re serious about winning, it’s time to get a Fantasy Points subscription to access all our fantasy football, betting, and DFS content.
View our Fantasy Basic and Fantasy Pro plans, or dive in deep with our Fantasy Bundle.
How did we do?
And that concludes this edition of The Roundup. If you never want to miss a Fantasy Points article again, hit subscribe below.👇
Please reach out to [email protected] if you have any questions or issues.
