June is here, mandatory minicamps are winding down, and although the NFL is headed into its annual summer slumber, you are just getting warmed up. Others might be soaking up the sun, but you're soaking up sleeper picks, breakout candidates, and draft strategy—and that’s how leagues are won.

As you grind through the offseason, the team here at Fantasy Points is right there with you—crunching the numbers and uncovering the statistical edges that separate champions from the rest of the pack. With that in mind, let’s dive into what you need to know this week to stay ahead of the curve…

REMINDER: Get access to all our fantasy football, betting, and daily fantasy (DFS) content. Just $175 for the season, our NFL Premium Plan includes everything in our NFL Standard Plan ($60) + NFL Draft Props, NFL Best Bets, College Fantasy Football, weekly DFS plays and much, much more.

Thanks for joining us, let’s get after it.

— Marcus

Fact-based news without bias awaits. Make 1440 your choice today.

Overwhelmed by biased news? Cut through the clutter and get straight facts with your daily 1440 digest. From politics to sports, join millions who start their day informed.

Sign up now!

Statistically Significant

Rushing Scheme Fits

Ryan Heath breaks down the NFL's top run game tactics, the teams that use them the most, the players that excel in them, and changes for 2025.

Talent matters, but in the NFL, fit is everything—and with coaching changes shaking up schemes across the league, identifying players whose skill sets align better or worse with their new systems can give you a serious edge. Among the players Heath highlighted, a few stand out:

📈 Seahawks RB Ken Walker should thrive in new OC Klint Kubiak’s outside zone scheme, as he averages 4.54 career YPC on outside zone, reflecting a ~13% efficiency boost compared to all other carries. In contrast, Zach Charbonnet has averaged just 3.67 career YPC on outside zone, ~21% less than his average on other carries.

📉 Speaking of Kubiak, Saints RB Alvin Kamara is sure to miss his former OC. Nearly 54% of his rush attempts came on outside zone last year, a large part of why he had his most efficient season on the ground since 2020. Kamara averaged just 3.87 YPC from 2021-23 before it jumped to 4.17 YPC overall (4.50 YPC on outside zone) in 2024. And unfortunately, new Saints HC Kellen Moore hasn’t used outside zone on more than 26% of his run plays in any season since 2021.

📈 Bears RB D’Andre Swift was +22% more efficient on man/gap than on zone concepts in 2024, and similar was true when he had the most efficient season of his career under Ben Johnson in Detroit in 2022. Swift’s 6.05 YPC on man/gap attempts that year ranked top-3 in the NFL. Given their history together, it should be safe to assume Johnson will know how to set his RB up for success.

Read the full article to see how Josh McDaniels’ scheme could mean big things for TreVeyon Henderson.🚀

Scrambles & QB Runs

Heath breaks down the importance of QB rushing stats for fantasy football, including the predictiveness of scrambling and designed runs.

Whether we categorize a rush attempt as a scramble or a designed play, the most important takeaway is that rushing is unbelievably important for QBs in fantasy football. Each of the top-9 most predictive QB stats measures rushing in whole or in part (see below), so scooping up hyper-mobile QBs on the few remaining occasions they aren’t appropriately priced is critical.

📈 Patriots QB Drake Maye’s 31.3 scramble YPG ranks 5th-best among all QBs in Fantasy Points Data history, or 2nd-best among rookies behind only Jayden Daniels. That increases further to 35.2 scramble YPG across his nine full games, beating out Daniels and ranking behind only Justin Fields (2022) in the Fantasy Points Data era.

Despite this success, Maye had only 7 designed runs all year — and still managed to rank 6th in rushing YPG on scrambles alone. If he sees any boost in that category, his rushing upside would certainly allow him to surpass his current QB16 ADP.

📉 Bears QB Caleb Williams saw most of his 2024 rushing production come from scrambles, averaging fewer than 2.0 designed rush attempts per game, but his opportunities to scramble are likely about to take a hit.

Williams amassed the 2nd-most dropbacks in the NFL last year (680), behind only Joe Burrow, but on a per-dropback basis, his scramble rate ranked behind players like Bryce Young and Brock Purdy. Meanwhile, the Lions ranked outside the top-20 in pass rate over expectation (PROE) each of the past two seasons under Ben Johnson. So if the Bears’ dropback volume declines in 2025, Williams’ scrambles (and therefore his total rush attempts) likely will too.

Read the full article to see how Bo Nix’s Week 12 back injury affected his designed runs.

Dynasty Corner

2025 Off-Season Trades

Theo Gremminger breaks down some recent trades he's made on different types of FFPC dynasty fantasy football teams.

There is arguably no better time to make dynasty trades than during the window surrounding your rookie draft, including both the buildup and the aftermath. This year, business was booming in Gremminger’s leagues…

• This team was coming off back-to-back championships, but needed some help at WR to stay atop the league. Sacrificing some youth in Bech and the 2.12 allowed Gremminger to acquire a veteran stud.

• Taking just a 2026 2nd for Aiyuk might seem like a slight underpay, but in this case, Gremminger was looking for some more ammunition to acquire a QB he could have as a cornerstone piece for this orphan team he took over.

• With Rashee Rice looking healthy and trending up, Gremminger was looking to gain some exposure on the KC WR. Giving up a 1st was difficult, but seeing as this is a competitive team, it should be a late 1st anyway, and Rice’s upside was too much to pass up.

Read the full article to see more moves Gremminger made, along with his rationale.

As always, all this content and more is available at FantasyPoints.com.

REMINDER: If you’re serious about winning, it’s time to get a Fantasy Points subscription to access all our fantasy football, betting, and DFS content.

View our NFL Premium Plan and NFL Standard Plan.

And that concludes this edition of The Roundup. If you never want to miss a Fantasy Points article again, hit subscribe below.👇

Please reach out to [email protected] if you have any questions or issues.