Welcome to Week 4. The Browns are 3-1 and at the top of the AFC North...what timeline are we in???
Maybe you’re 3-0 and already planning the championship parade. Or maybe you’re 0-3 and the trade vultures have started sending “just checking in” offers. Either way, there’s work to do.
One move could dig you out of an early hole - or turn an already good roster into a juggernaut. We’ve got league-winning swings to take, trades to make, and a full Week 4 slate to attack.
It’s time to save your season.
Don’t look now…the Browns might have some juice.
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🔥 The Everything Report Week 4
Ryan Heath and Graham Barfield review all the fantasy football usage from Week 3 with everything you need to know before Week 4.
🐴 Jeremiyah Love Is a Bell Cow
The takeover appears to be happening. After splitting work with Tyler Allgeier through two weeks while working back from a high-ankle sprain, Jeremiyah Love jumped to a 63% snap share and 76.3% backfield XFP share in Week 3. He commanded 22.8 XFP - 4th-most among RBs - and his overall usage is already at the level of a borderline top-12 fantasy back.
And there’s still room for more. Allgeier handled 7 of 11 two-minute-drill snaps and ran six third-down routes to Love’s two, but Love profiles as the vastly superior receiving threat. His 0.31 TPRR ranks 5th among RBs this season, while Allgeier sits at 0.14. If Love eventually takes over those high-value passing-down snaps, top-5 RB upside is firmly in play.
For now, Love belongs around the RB10 range rest of season. Arizona is playing at the league’s 4th-fastest pace, the workload is moving in the right direction, and there’s a realistic path to an even bigger role. The September breakout arrived right on schedule.
🚀 Brock Bowers Just Turbo-Charged the Raiders
Brock Bowers didn’t just return in Week 3 - he completely changed the Raiders’ offense. Bowers caught 10 passes for 116 yards and a TD while commanding career-highs in target share (39.4%) and receiving-yard share (46.8%). He also ran a route on 95% of dropbacks, with 77% coming from the slot or out wide. Under Klint Kubiak, Bowers is essentially being deployed as a WR masquerading as a TE.
His return also unlocked the offense schematically. Las Vegas jumped from using 12 personnel on just 17% of snaps in Weeks 1-2 to 54% in Week 3 - and that personnel grouping has been ridiculously efficient.
That could be huge for Ashton Jeanty, too. Jeanty ranks 2nd among RBs in XFP/G (23.4), but has scored 5.0 FPG below expectation. The biggest culprit has been brutal luck near the goal line: he’s been hit in the backfield on 6 of his 7 carries inside the 10. If Bowers’ return turns Las Vegas into even a top-10 offense, Jeanty’s elite workload should eventually produce a lot more scoring opportunities.
Bowers is already in a dead heat with Trey McBride for TE1 rest of season, while Jeanty remains one of fantasy’s most intriguing buy-lows. The bigger takeaway: this Raiders offense suddenly looks far more interesting than it did two weeks ago.
🎯 Josh Downs Has a Dream Role
The fantasy points haven’t arrived yet, but Josh Downs’ underlying usage is screaming breakout. He ranks top-13 among WRs in first-read target share (31.5%), air-yard share (41.1%), and team receiving-yard share (30.4%), while also ranking 3rd in horizontally-breaking route rate - one of fantasy’s sneaky cheat-code usage stats.
So why is he only WR34 in FPG? Mostly bad luck. Just 67% of his targets have been catchable, and he hasn’t seen a single end-zone target. Even in a run-heavy offense with Daniel Jones, Downs has top-24 WR upside if the variance starts breaking his way. Keep starting him.
Find more league winners in The Everything Report Week 4.
🔥 Week 4 Starts & Sits
Joe Dolan dishes out the info & stats you need to help make your toughest lineup decisions for Week 4.
Brock Bowers // Morgan Simmons, Getty Images
Crown Brock Bowers. Bowers immediately looked like the Raiders’ WR1 in his season debut, running 80% of his routes from the slot or outside and commanding an absurd 50% first-read target share. He’s back - treat him like it.
Start Cam Skattebo. Skattebo accounted for 100 of the Giants’ 238 yards last week, leading the team in both rushing (60) and receiving (40). He also played every snap inside the 10 and ran 17 of the backfield’s 20 routes. Bad offense, elite role.
Start Braelon Allen. Allen scored 12.1 PPR points on 14.43 XFP in his lone career game without Breece Hall. The efficiency hasn’t been great, but Isaiah Davis hasn’t played an offensive snap this year, putting Allen in position to dominate the volume and goal-line work.
Start Jameson Williams. If Williams is going to break through, this is the spot. Carolina will be without CBs Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson, while Williams ranks dead last among WRs with a -6.24 FPG-to-XFPG differential. The matchup is there for some positive regression.
Stream Kenyon Sadiq. Sadiq flashed his elite athleticism with 7/105/1 on eight targets last week despite only a 56.8% route share. The usage carries some risk, but the first-round talent has delivered when given opportunities, making him a viable TE streamer.
Sit Emeka Egbuka. Egbuka is back in QB hell, and things aren’t likely to improve with an undrafted rookie taking over under center. The talent remains, but the quarterback situation makes him tough to trust this week.
Sit Omarion Hampton. Hampton hit season-lows in snap share (42.2%), route share (15.8%), and XFP (11.9) last week, with three other Chargers running more routes. Add a struggling offense and a Seattle defense allowing the 5th-fewest FPG to RBs, and Hampton is an RB3 this week.
Sit Dolphins RBs. With De’Von Achane out, Ollie Gordon should get the first crack at the workload, but he’s been stuffed on a league-high 65% of his runs with a 20% success rate. Jaylen Wright could also return and bring more explosiveness, further muddying the split. There may eventually be fantasy value here, but this looks like a backfield to watch for a week before trusting either player.
Read the full article for advice on who to start & sit throughout the entire Week 4 slate.
Green Bay Packers (32%) @ TB. Green Bay was brutal against Atlanta, but this is a bounce-back spot against UDFA rookie QB Jalon Daniels in his first NFL start. The Packers don’t need to be great - they need the rookie to make mistakes…which is a good bet, per Drake’s Week 4 Streaming D/STs.
Kalif Raymond or Luther Burden? The Jets have been a major pass funnel while allowing the 7th-most receiving YPG on throws within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage - right where Raymond and Burden do their damage. Raymond has seen 27% of Chicago’s targets in that area, 5th-most among WRs, while Burden ranks 9th at 23.8%. Both are firmly in play this week, with Raymond offering the steadier volume and Burden the bigger-play upside, per Heath’s Week 4 Advanced Matchups.
You might wanna sit this one out, pal. Mike Evans vs. Pat Surtain. Evans is already battling a rib injury, and now draws arguably the toughest shadow matchup in football. The only previous meeting wasn’t pretty: Surtain held Evans to 17 yards on three targets, with Evans posting a 6.5% route win rate and his only negative separation score of that season. Between the injury and the matchup, Evans belongs on fantasy benches this week, per Vanek’s Week 4 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.
📈 Trends & Trades
Players to trade/trade for, risers & fallers & more
🚨 SAVE YOUR SEASON: SCOTT BARRETT’S IN-SEASON EXODIAS
The rumors of Scott Barrett’s demise have been greatly exaggerated.
Draft-season Exodias are the players Scott Barrett plants his biggest flags on. Three weeks into the season, he’s calling an audible: Zay Flowers and Michael Wilson are the two players to aggressively trade for before the market catches up.
The rumors of Scott Barrett’s demise have been greatly exaggerated.
🌸 Zay Flowers - Acquire at all costs. Flowers has been an efficiency monster, averaging an absurd 9.36 YPRR despite not reaching a 33% snap share in any game. More importantly, Baltimore is using him differently - moving him into the slot at a career-high rate and making him the focal point when they throw. He’s dominating against every major coverage shell, and Scott now ranks him WR5 rest of season, despite the trade market still valuing him closer to a mid-WR2. This isn’t buying high; Scott believes Flowers remains significantly undervalued.
🌵 Michael Wilson - Sneaky league winner? Arizona’s new offense may be even better for Wilson than expected: fast-paced, pass-heavy, and increasingly concentrated around Wilson and Trey McBride. Wilson just drew 17 targets and now ranks top-6 in first-read target share. Over his last 11 games, he’s averaged 10.6 targets, 85.3 yards, and 19.1 fantasy points per game. Scott believes Wilson could be a fantasy WR1 - even a league-winner - if Arizona’s elevated pace and play volume stick.
The message is simple: act now. Both remain cheaper in actual trades than Scott believes they should be, and these windows can disappear in a week. Flowers is the higher-end acquisition, while Wilson may still be obtainable for considerably less than his current production warrants.
Buy Chase Brown. Brown has underwhelmed the last two weeks, but the bigger issue has been Cincinnati’s offense - the Bengals have reached the 10-yard line on just four of 30 drives, leaving him with minimal TD opportunities. Samaje Perine will continue stealing some passing-down and short-yardage work, but Brown was a slow starter last year before finishing strong. The recent dip may have opened a small buy-low window, per Hansen’s Week 4 Player Trade Recommendations.
Sell Bucky Irving. Irving’s usage has been excellent, but Tampa Bay’s offensive environment could deteriorate quickly with UDFA Jalon Daniels taking over at QB. Sustaining drives and generating red-zone trips will be tougher, while Kenneth Gainwell could steal passing-down work because of his pass protection. Irving can still pile up carries, but his scoring and receiving ceilings suddenly look much shakier, per Hansen’s Week 4 Player Trade Recommendations.
Last call on Parker Washington. Washington’s efficiency has been legitimately elite through three weeks, ranking 2nd among WRs in TPRR (0.34), 6th in YPRR (3.25), and 4th in XFP/RR (0.68). Jacksonville’s league-low 29.0 dropbacks per game has suppressed the production, and his 13-point Week 3 created one final buy window. With Cincinnati up next, this may be the last chance to get him before the breakout, per Menton’s Trading Guide: Week 4.
Trade Outlook: That boom performance could come in Week 4 against the Bengals, and this may be the last chance to buy Washington before he’s unobtainable. (Example: Tee Higgins + Malik Nabers)
Cash out on Rashee Rice. Rice exploded against Miami on massive volume - a 37.5% target share, 38.9% first-read share, and 18.4 XFP - but the underlying efficiency remains concerning. He ranks dead last among WRs in ASS and 2nd-to-last against zone coverage, historically his biggest strength. Week 3 may have provided the value spike needed to sell high, per Menton’s Trading Guide: Week 4.
Trade Outlook: Rice has been a sell throughout, and this value spike presents an opportunity to take advantage. (Example: Michael Wilson + Jakobi Meyers)
💸 Best Bets
Makai Lemon over 3.5 receptions (+102, DK). Fantasy Points projects Lemon for 4.6 catches with DeVonta Smith expected to miss Week 4. Smith leaves behind a 30% target share, while Lemon already owns an 84% route share, 15% target share, and a team-high 3 designed targets through three games, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 4.
Khalil Shakir under 40.5 receiving yards (-110, DK). Fantasy Points projects Shakir for 39.6 yards after he finished with 38 or fewer in each of his last two games. New England plays man coverage at the league’s 2nd-highest rate (39%), and Shakir has yet to catch either of his targets against man this season. The Patriots have also allowed the 4th-fewest receiving YPG (26.3) to slot WRs, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 4.
Must-play Sunday props, per the Guru’s Best Bets Week 4.
Jameson Williams over 50.5 receiving yards (-114, FD)
Luther Burden over 45.5 receiving yards (-114, DK)
📖 Quick Hitters
Locking in on weekly game breakdowns? Read: 2026 Week 4 Game Hub
Keeping tabs on dynasty players? Read: Dynasty Market Report: Week 4
Researching who to use in DFS? Read: Week 4 DK/FD DFS Main Slate Early Look
Want to stay up to date on the latest injuries? Read: 2026 Week 4 Injury Report
Curious about what teams the Fantasy Points staff chose this week? Read: 2026 Week 4 NFL Staff Picks
Looking to play some hidden gems this week? Read: 2026 Week 4 DFS Coverage Shells
Love the battles happening in the trenches? Read: Scouting the OL/DL Matchups: Week 4
Need more information at all times? Read: Data Charter Notes: Week 3
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