
Welcome to Week 7. We're getting close to the halfway point of the fantasy season, and the standings are starting to take shape.
Between injuries, bye weeks, and some tough lineup decisions, there's a lot to sort through heading into Sunday. Whether you're sitting at the top of your league or trying to get back to .500, there's still a long way to go.
Let's get into it.
It’s been that kind of season.
Inside Today’s Roundup:
The Everything Report 💯
Starts & Sits 🔥
Trends & Trades 📈
Best Bets 🤑
Subscribe NOW for exclusive access to our premium content👇
Subscribers, join our Discord for live Q&As, news updates, analysis & more!
🔥 The Everything Report Week 7
Ryan Heath and Graham Barfield review all the fantasy football usage from Week 6 with everything you need to know before Week 7.

🚀 The Texans Are Following Green Bay's Early-Season Blueprint
After Week 2, Ryan and Graham highlighted why Green Bay's combination of a struggling run game, vulnerable defense, talented receivers, and underrated quarterback could produce plenty of fantasy points through the air. Six weeks into the season, Houston is showing those same characteristics. The Texans rank bottom-10 in EPA per rush and 20th in defensive EPA per play allowed, creating more reasons for C.J. Stroud to throw.
And that's exactly what's happening. Houston ranks eighth in pass rate over expectation (+4.1%), up from +1.7% last season. Stroud has dropped back at least 35 times in five of six games, something he managed just six times throughout all of 2025. He's also playing significantly better, ranking eighth in highly accurate throw rate, ninth in adjusted net yards per attempt, and seventh in completion percentage over expected.
The fantasy results are following….Stroud is averaging 21.6 FPG (~QB5) with Nico Collins active, while Jaylin Noel has averaged 15.9 FPG over the last three weeks. Collins remains the top receiving option, but Noel's emergence gives Houston another explosive weapon, and the offense is spreading the ball around more effectively. Stroud looks like a legitimate low-end QB1 for the rest of the season, with multiple receivers capable of producing fantasy-relevant weeks.
📈 Two Receivers Worth Buying Before It's Too Late
Jordyn Tyson and A.J. Brown are two very different buy-low candidates with legitimate upside. Tyson is a stash for teams that can afford to wait. New Orleans ranks fourth in plays per game, first in pace, and 10th in pass rate (63.7%), creating an ideal environment for a rookie who could debut after the Saints' Week 8 bye. The Saints' receivers collectively rank eighth in expected fantasy points per game (38.1), so there's plenty of opportunity for Tyson to carve out a meaningful role alongside Chris Olave. If you're sitting comfortably in the standings, he's exactly the kind of player worth stashing for the fantasy playoffs.
Brown's opportunity is much more immediate. In his first full game with New England, he commanded 43% of first-read targets and 39% of air yards, generating 22.1 expected fantasy points but scoring just 5.7. Four drops helped sink his box score, but the usage was exactly what fantasy managers wanted to see. With Romeo Doubs on IR and Drake Maye playing at an elite level, Brown looks like a top-16 WR rest of season. Buy the volume before the production follows.
🎯 Carnell Tate Is Playing Better Than His Fantasy Numbers Suggest
Carnell Tate is quietly putting together an impressive rookie season, even if his fantasy production hasn't fully reflected it. He's earning targets on 28% of his routes (WR12) and averaging over 2.0 yards per route run, which is particularly impressive considering the quarterback play he's dealing with in Tennessee. Tate has drawn 25 targets of 10-plus air yards, matching CeeDee Lamb and Tetairoa McMillan, but only 60% of those throws have been catchable.
That's the problem. Tate is earning targets at a WR1-level rate, but his overall opportunity is worth just 12.4 XFP/G (~WR28) because the passing offense has struggled so badly. He's currently on the fringe of WR2 territory for the rest of the season, with legitimate top-15 upside if Cam Ward starts playing better. The talent and target-earning ability are already there. Now he just needs a quarterback who can get him the ball.
Find more league winners in The Everything Report Week 7.
🔥 Week 7 Starts & Sits
Joe Dolan shares the info & stats you need to make your toughest Week 7 lineup decisions.

Tucker Kraft // Michael Reaves, Getty Images
🟢 Start Tucker Kraft. If you've been waiting for Kraft to deliver a breakout performance, this is the matchup. Detroit has allowed a ridiculous +18.8 schedule-adjusted FPG to tight ends over the last four weeks, including +14.2 to inline TEs, where Kraft runs 56% of his routes. With one of the week's highest projected game totals, Kraft has legitimate TE1 upside.
🟢 Start Germie Bernard. With Michael Pittman sidelined, Bernard has emerged as a legitimate fantasy option in Pittsburgh. He's averaging 9.7 targets, a 26% target share, and 15.9 FPG over his last three games without Pittman. New Orleans allows the 9th-most FPG to slot receivers and plays zone at the NFL's 2nd-highest rate, which suits Bernard's strengths. He's a strong WR2 this week.
🟢 Start Woody Marks. Houston's backfield is getting thinner, with David Montgomery expected to miss another game and Jawhar Jordan landing on IR. That leaves Marks positioned for a bellcow workload against a Giants team entering as a double-digit underdog. Marks hasn't been particularly efficient, but the volume and favorable game script make him a strong RB2 with upside.
🔴 Sit Jameson Williams. Williams finally scored his first two touchdowns of the season before Detroit's bye, but they came on just two receptions. He's struggled against two-high coverage, averaging only 1.36 YPRR, and Green Bay deploys those looks at the NFL's 4th-highest rate. In a potentially high-scoring game, the temptation is understandable, but Williams remains a touchdown-dependent WR3.
🔴 Sit Xavier Worthy. Worthy benefited from Rashee Rice's absence in Week 6, catching seven passes and scoring 14.3 fantasy points. Unfortunately, Seattle plays zone coverage at the NFL's highest rate (88.7%), and Worthy averages just 1.04 YPRR against zone, ranking 101st among WRs. With the Seahawks allowing the 3rd-fewest FPG to receivers, Worthy is a risky WR3 even if Rice remains sidelined.
🔴 Sit Courtland Sutton. Sutton has yet to record a top-36 PPR finish this season and is averaging just 5.2 FPG. His 0.78 YPRR ranks 98th among receivers, and he's catching only about half his targets. Arizona presents a favorable matchup on paper, but Sutton hasn't shown enough to trust him in fantasy lineups. Don't chase the matchup when the production hasn't been there.
Read the full article for advice on who to start & sit throughout the entire Week 7 slate.
🛡️ Cleveland Browns (21%) @ TEN. Even without Myles Garrett, Cleveland ranks second in the NFL in sacks through six weeks. Now the Browns face Cam Ward and a Tennessee offense that's struggled all season. Ward has thrown an interception in four straight games, and Cleveland's defense is in a great spot to keep that streak going. With Jacksonville on bye, the Browns are a strong streaming option if you need a replacement, per Drake's Week 7 Streaming D/STs.per Drake’s Week 7 Streaming D/STs.
🔥 George Kittle Is a Coverage Nightmare for Atlanta. The 49ers' depleted receiving corps has created a ridiculous opportunity for Kittle. After Mike Evans exited last week, Kittle commanded a 44.4% target share, and he's averaging an absurd 0.40 TPRR and 5.04 YPRR on routes without Evans this season. Atlanta runs Cover 3 and Cover 4 at the NFL's 6th-highest combined rate (60.1%), two looks Kittle has historically dominated. He's averaging 17.3 DraftKings FPG since Week 2, giving him legitimate slate-breaking upside, per Heath’s Week 7 Advanced Matchups.
⚡ Speed Kills? Kyle Williams vs. Jaylon Johnson. With Romeo Doubs and Mack Hollins on IR, Williams has a chance to make some noise against Chicago. He's run 70.7% of his routes on go routes, crossers, or posts, and his 18-yard aDOT matches up perfectly with a Bears defense that's already allowed 10 receivers to top 60 yards. Johnson has surrendered more receiving yards than any other corner this season and is allowing over 20 yards per completion. With Chicago potentially shading coverage toward A.J. Brown, Williams could get the one-on-one opportunities he needs for a breakout game, per Vanek’s Week 7 WR/CB Fantasy Matchups.
🚀 Level Up Your Game
📺 More Fantasy Points, more ways to get an edge. Subscribe to our YouTube channel for year-round fantasy football coverage from the entire Fantasy Points crew, including trade targets, start/sit advice, waiver rankings, weekly takeaways, and deeper dives into the data.
From breaking down what we learned each week to finding the next breakout before your league catches on, our analysts have you covered with actionable insights all season long.
📈 Trends & Trades
Players to buy and sell, risers, fallers & more.

Justin Jefferson // Bruce Kluckhohn, AP Photo
Buy Justin Jefferson. Jefferson's value is already climbing, but there might still be a small window to acquire him before he becomes untouchable. Kyler Murray showed encouraging signs in Week 5, using his legs to extend plays and keep Minnesota's offense moving. With Jefferson commanding a massive role and a favorable upcoming schedule featuring Indianapolis, Detroit, and Buffalo, this passing game could be ready to take off. Buy now before the price gets even higher, per Hansen’s Week 7 Player Trade Recommendations.
Sell Dalton Kincaid. Kincaid finally showed some life in Week 6, catching seven of eight targets, more than he managed in his previous three games combined. But those catches produced just 38 yards and 10.8 fantasy points, and his inconsistent snap and route participation remain major concerns. With a bye followed by a below-average stretch of matchups, this could be a good opportunity to sell after a respectable box score, per Hansen’s Week 7 Player Trade Recommendations.

Buy Matthew Golden before his production catches up to his opportunity. Golden has led Green Bay's receiving corps in route share and target share in four of six games this season. He's averaging 9.2 targets per game (WR8), ranks second among WRs with 11 red-zone targets, and sits seventh in expected fantasy points per game (18.9 XFP/G). His league-leading eight drops have cost him nearly 30 fantasy points, helping explain why his actual production hasn't matched his elite usage. The opportunity to acquire him below his true value may not last much longer, per Menton’s Trading Guide: Week 7.
Trade Outlook: Golden could realistically emerge as the Packers' WR1 for the rest of the season, but most leagues still value him as clearly behind Christian Watson. (Example: Saquon Barkley + Michael Wilson)
Sell Ashton Jeanty while his RB1 reputation still carries weight. Jeanty's rushing struggles continued in Week 6, with another game below 3.0 yards per carry and 2.0 yards before contact per attempt. More concerning is his shrinking workload: his designed carry rate fell to a season-low 50%, while his share of backfield expected fantasy points dropped from 88.9% in Weeks 1-3 to 63.3% in Weeks 4-6. With his health still a concern and the Raiders increasingly splitting backfield work, Jeanty's rest-of-season outlook is becoming harder to trust, per Menton’s Trading Guide: Week 7.
Trade Outlook: The Raiders' backfield appears to be trending toward a more even rushing split, and Jeanty may not get fully healthy this season without taking time off. (Example: Bucky Irving + Luther Burden)
💸 Best Bets
Drake London over 77.5 receiving yards (-113, DraftKings). Fantasy Points projects London for 99.9 receiving yards, and he's cleared 96 yards in eight of his last 10 games with Michael Penix Jr. under center. He ranks fourth in YPRR (3.40) and has been especially productive against Cover 3 and Cover 6, which San Francisco deploys on a combined 60.3% of snaps, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 7.
John Metchie over 10.5 receiving yards (-114, Caesars). Fantasy Points projects Metchie for 19.3 receiving yards, and he's cleared 19 yards in three straight games. Tampa Bay plays single-high safety at the league's second-highest rate (65.1%) and blitzes at the fourth-highest rate (43.5%). Metchie has averaged 2.05 YPRR against single-high looks and 2.84 YPRR against the blitz, giving him multiple paths to clear a modest line, per Brolley’s Best Bets Week 7.
Must-play Sunday props, per the Guru’s Best Bets Week 7.
Chase Brown OVER 19.5 receiving yards (-114, FD)
Jaylin Noel OVER 27.5 receiving yards (-114, FD)
📖 Quick Hitters
Locking in on weekly game breakdowns? Read: 2026 Week 7 Game Hub
Keeping tabs on dynasty players? Read: Dynasty Market Report: Week 7
Researching who to use in DFS? Read: Week 7 DK/FD DFS Main Slate Early Look
Curious about what teams the Fantasy Points staff chose this week? Read: 2026 Week 7 NFL Staff Picks
Looking to play some hidden gems this week? Read: 2026 Week 7 DFS Coverage Shells
Love the battles happening in the trenches? Read: Scouting the OL/DL Matchups: Week 7
Go attack Week 7…it’s time to get a W.
See you guys on Tuesday 🤝
- Sean
How did we do?

If Fantasy Points has helped you dominate your home league or win a bunch of cash in betting or DFS, we’d love to hear about it.
Fire out a tweet tagging @FantasyPts and/or @FantasyPtsData (somewhere in the body of the tweet — not at the very beginning), along with #ScoreMore, letting us know how we’ve helped.
The best testimonials will be featured on our site, and if that’s you, we’ll cover your subscription cost, give you a free upgrade, or send you some free swag from our store!
Thanks for helping us out!
— the Fantasy Points team
REMINDER: If you’re serious about winning, it’s time to get a Fantasy Points subscription to access all our fantasy football, betting, and DFS content. And don’t forget to use code FPFO for 15% off at checkout!
View our Fantasy Basic and Fantasy Pro plans, or dive in deep with our Fantasy Bundle.
And that concludes this edition of The Roundup. If you never want to miss a Fantasy Points article again, hit subscribe below.👇
Please reach out to [email protected] if you have any questions or issues.
