Week 6 Best Bets

Fantasy Points Week 6 Best Bets.

Author

The Roundup
October 11, 2025

Armed with the best projections and data in the business, our staff is CRUSHING the sportsbooks this season.

Tom Brolley is on a heater to start this year, going 49-21 (70%, +24.75 units) on his Player Props.

Justin Varnes is a sharp defensive player prop bettor, hitting on 63% (2023), 64% (2024), and 67% (2025) of his wagers over the last three seasons.

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Guru’s Best Bets

D.K. Metcalf OVER 52.5 receiving yards (-114, DraftKings)

John is feeling a big game from Metcalf this week!

Guru's Best Bets: 2025 NFL Week 6 | Fantasy Points

www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2025/gurus-best-bets-nfl-week-6#

Brolley’s Best Bets

Tucker Kraft (GB) over 44.5 receiving yards (-113, DraftKings)

FP Projection: 58.4 yards, 56+ yards in 2 of last 3 games, CIN deploys Cover 3 (34.2%) and Cover 1 (21.2%) at a 55.4% clip, Kraft averages 2.87 YPRR and .22 TPRR on 55 routes against those coverages, CIN gives up the fourth-most receptions per game (6.8) and the fourth-most receiving YPG (69.0) to TEs, LaPorta posted 5/92/1 receiving in this matchup last week. Bet to 47.5 yards. Placed at 3:08 p.m. on Oct. 9.

Brolley's Best Bets: 2025 Week 6 | Fantasy Points

Fantasy Points' betting expert Tom Brolley breaks down his best against the spread and player prop bets.

www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2025/brolleys-best-bets-week-6#

Barfield’s Best Bets

Rashid Shaheed over 43.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet365)

Over his last 10 full games, Shaheed has 41/626/5 receiving. This is a pretty similar matchup to last week. He leads the Saints in targets per route run (0.31) and yards per route run (2.51) vs. man-to-man. The Patriots deploy the ninth-most man coverage (32%).

Barfield's Best Bets: 2025 NFL Week 6 | Fantasy Points

Fantasy Points stat analyst Graham Barfield breaks down his best player prop bets for Week 6.

www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2025/barfields-best-bets-nfl-week-6#

Varnes’ Defensive Player Props

Defensive Player Prop Bets: 2025 Week 6 | Fantasy Points

Justin Varnes highlights his favorite individual defensive player prop bets on the 2025 Week 6 NFL slate.

www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2025/defensive-player-prop-bets-week-6#

Paul’s Props + TD Bets

Paul's Props and Touchdowns: 2025 Week 6 | Fantasy Points

Paul Kelly sorts through the Fantasy Points projections to find big discrepancies to make the best player prop and touchdown bets!

www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2025/pauls-props-and-touchdowns-week-6#

Heath’s Advanced Matchups

The Panthers have deployed Cover 3 at a top-3 rate this season (42.0%), and have done so at least 37% of the time in 4 of their 5 games. Dak Prescott has averaged 0.71 FP/DB (would rank ~QB3), an 18.0% deep throw rate (~QB1), and 9.92 ANY/A (~QB1) against Cover 3 this year. Those constitute +82%, +51%, and +79% boosts (respectively) for Prescott compared to all other shells this year. He ranks top-3 in catchable throw rate (90.2%) and highly accurate throw rate (70.5%) against Cover 3 despite a top-12 aDOT on those dropbacks (8.6).

Recommended Props: Jake Ferguson over 44.5 receiving yards (BetMGM, -110, risk 1u), 70+ receiving yards (FanDuel, +300, risk 0.25u)

2025 NFL Week 6 Advanced Matchups | Fantasy Points

Digging through the Fantasy Points Data Suite to identify the best and worst schematic matchups for DFS and player prop bets in NFL Week 6.

www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/dfs/2025/nfl-week-6-advanced-matchups#

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– The Fantasy Points Team