Welcome back, legend. As the days grow warmer and the season draws closer, we’re all beginning to forget the pain caused by fantasy football (and Kyle Pitts) last season.

We’re all still waiting to hear where DeAndre Hopkins lands, and it’s looking all but inevitable that Dalvin Cook is moved. Meanwhile, Vikings HC Kevin O’Connell was busy inflating Alexander Mattison’s ADP, calling Mattison a three-down back who’s been “capable” of playing that role “for a long time.” 👀 

With June 1st behind us, the Vikings can cut Cook and spread his cap across two seasons, instead of it all accruing to one year (as it would have it they cut him prior to June 1st). ESPN’s Kevin Seifert wrote that the only thing left for the Vikings is “to formalize Cook’s exit”, while GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah is likely waiting to see if he can get some compensation before releasing Cook.

Like Mattison, we at FantasyPoints plan to help you score more fantasy points for a long time. Thanks for joining us, let’s get into it.

— JR

Was this email forwarded to you? Do you want to prove you’re better than your friends by beating them at fantasy football?

Join 45,000+ subscribers 👇

MOST POPULAR

OTA Insights, Rumours and Highlights

Tom Brolley dove into the final stage of the off-season program before contact practices begin. This is our first look at the rookies and returning vets looking to make statements in 2023.

📉 Dalton Kincaid’s ADP dropped after OC Ken Dorsey failed to endorse the first round TE as the Bills slot option: “We’re nowhere close to knowing what the big picture is going to be because we have to learn him and he has to learn us.” Rookie TEs don’t typically produce elite fantasy seasons, and Kincaid is one of the most severely overdrafted TEs with a current ADP of 119 (TE11). The Bills are also among the favorites to add DeAndre Hopkins.

📈 Tyquan Thornton, who spent the off-season bulking up to improve his durability after missing time for a broken clavicle last season, is finally receiving some love in NE. New OC Bill O’Brien prominently featured him in the schemes installed during a May 31st practice, and Thornton’s 4.28-speed stood out in the non-padded practice.

📈 Elijah Moore’s stock is up after the Athletic’s Zac Jackson noted that Moore has been used on short passes that let him create after the catch, and he’s been used in motion and all over the formation during OTAs. “It’s clear the Browns are stressing three things: fast tempo, an attacking mindset on defense and feeding wide receiver Elijah Moore."

📈 Also in Cleveland, Jerome Ford is working as the top back for the first round of OTA practices with Nick Chubb taking the voluntary workouts off. The Browns let Kareem Hunt walk and have been noticeably quiet at the position this off-season. Ford could see an expanded role and handcuff value as Chubb’s top backup.

The full article has all the latest actionable fantasy football intel.

All the Hype

🔥 Calvin Ridley & Justyn Ross: Back to the Future

Calvin Ridley is turning heads with his on-field performance at OTAs, and he’s “ahead of schedule” with his knowledge of the offense heading into his first year with Jacksonville. Paired with Trevor Lawrence, Ridley is dripping with upside, especially after seeing Zay Jones blow-up on the perimeter during games last season. Only problem? Ridley is being drafted near his ceiling (WR17).

Treylon Burks has consistently been Ryan Tannehill’s favorite during OTAs — not that Tannehill has many choices — and reporter Jim Wyatt noted that Burks has yet to drop a pass during OTAs. Brett Whitefield expects the Titans to run a heavy play-action scheme that hides some of Burks’ deficiencies so he can catch and run. Burks will walk into 110+ targets.

Justyn Ross is making plays with Patrick Mahomes in OTAs after missing his entire rookie campaign after a foot surgery. Andy Reid said Ross “feels good” this off-season and that Mahomes has “trust” in his young receiver. Ross once was projected a first-round pick after his first two seasons at Clemson, but a congenital neck and spine condition scared teams away. Now, he’s looking like a no-brainer, late round grab. Someone check Scott Barrett’s blood pressure.

Dallas Goedert is working with Philadelphia’s WRs this spring “to sharpen his routes and releases” and to pick the brains of studs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, per Dave Zangaro. Goedert’s receiving YPG and catch rate have risen in four straight seasons, but he’s had trouble scoring, with just 19 career TDs on 341 targets (5.6% rate).

Read the full article.

WHAT ELSE IS COOKING

Deck the Halls with Quentin Johnston

The Fantasy Points staff recently welcomed NFL Insider Adam Caplan to talk about the AFC South as part of our Virtual Town Hall Series. Check out the entire conversation by accessing our Fantasy Points YouTube page and the Fantasy Points podcast feed.

Tom Brolley took notes from Adam Caplan and the rest of the Fantasy Points staff during these Town Hall meetings. We’ve sorted through the dankest, most actionable stats and included them below.

Samaje Perine will be be one of Joe Dolan’s most drafted running backs. Perine could see bell-cow work early in the season for as long as Javonte is out of the lineup.

Graham Barfield was a fan of Clyde Edwards-Helaire coming out of college, but CEH suffered bad injury luck in his first three seasons (high ankle, hip, gall bladder) and became a distant RB3 in KC last year. Isiah Pacheco is never going to be a big factor in the passing game and KC might not have given up on their former first rounder. Expect CEH to at least see screen passes, after which he’ll run like the Tasmanian Devil. Yes, my body is ready to get hurt again.

Raiders playmakers - including Jakobi Meyers and Davante Adams - are outlined here.

Adam Caplan on Damien Harris in Buffalo: The numbers between Brian Daboll’s offense in 2021 and Ken Dorsey’s offense from 2022 may have looked similar, but this offense wasn’t the same on tape last year. They had no one to close out games on the ground, and they’re hoping Damien Harris can do it. The Bills also went out of their way to upgrade the interior of their O-line by signing Connor McGovern and drafting O’Cyrus Torrence, which will help them run the ball.

Down in South Beach, Devon Achane’s blazing straight-line speed makes for a perfect match with Dolphins HC Mike McDaniel’s scheme. The big question with Achane is volume; the backfield is crowded with talent and could add Dalvin Cook. Still, the Dolphins had limited draft capital and used one of their picks on Achane, suggesting he should be used right away.

Props: Rookies and Passing Yards

Tom Brolley published his 2023 NFL Passing Yard Props, covering the majority of starting quarterbacks. In this article, Tom highlights a pair of bets already made and additional wagers considered - he also explains why Deshaun Watson is his most-drafted QB.

Brolley also outlined the rookie props for 2023, including why he is all-in on Bijan Robinson:

Saquon Barkley (#2, 2018) Leonard Fournette (#4, 2017), Ezekiel Elliott (#4, 2016), and Todd Gurley (#10, 2015) were the other four backs drafted inside the top 10 over the last decade. In that group, Fournette was the only RB who failed to reach 1101+ rushing yards as a rookie. Last year’s fifth-round pick Tyler Allgeier led the Falcons backfield with 210/1035 rushing (4.9 YPC) in 2022.

Atlanta’s rag-tag groups of backs led the NFL in RB rushing yards with 2209, and each of their backs who saw 75+ carries (Allgeier, Patterson, and Caleb Huntley) each averaged 4.8 YPC or better

Robinson would need 245 carries at 4.5 YPC to go over 1100.5 rushing yards; he could miss four games and still go over his total based on our projections.

Brolley’s Best Bet: Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) over 580.5 rushing yards (-115, Caesars). Risk 1.15 units to win one unit. Bet up to over 625 rushing yards.

2023 Dynasty Rookie Rankings.

🎤 Guru's High-Stakes Dynasty Rookie Draft Review – John Hansen reviews his recent FFPC high-stakes rookie draft, breaking down his picks, his strategy, and his dynasty team in general.

🎤 Ranking The Top 10 NFL Offensive Lines - Take Talk Podcast covers the new Cowboys scheme with more play-action.

🎤 AFC OTA Fantasy + Deandre Hopkins News – From Jacksonville moving touches away from Travis Etienne, Aaron Rodgers’ injury and the Raiders being the Raiders, this episode covers all-things AFC.

Three Tweets

Anywhere but Buffalo, please. Sincerely, Bengals and Kincaid fans.

Is the trick to ignore Chiefs WRs and draft Travis Kelce again?

Regression candidates or simply elite performers?

Dynasty Corner

After the Cardinals released DeAndre Hopkins, the low-hanging fruit (Marquise Brown, Rondale Moore and even Greg Dortch) received all the attention.

Don’t forget the Cardinals third-rounder, WR Michael Wilson, who is now their only big body on the outside. Wilson missed a lot of time due to injury in college but really showed out during Senior Bowl Week. His closest athletic comps were Michael Thomas and Travis Fulgham, so there’s a range of outcomes here. He’s available in the 4th round of rookie drafts.

As always, all this content and more is available at FantasyPoints.com. See you next week! And keep an eye on the FantasyPoints Data Suite…

And that concludes this edition of The Roundup.

Please reach out to [email protected] if you have any questions or issues.

Welcome back, legend. As the days grow warmer and the season draws closer, we’re all beginning to forget the pain caused by fantasy football (and Kyle Pitts) last season.

We’re all still waiting to hear where DeAndre Hopkins lands, and it’s looking all but inevitable that Dalvin Cook is moved. Meanwhile, Vikings HC Kevin O’Connell was busy inflating Alexander Mattison’s ADP, calling Mattison a three-down back who’s been “capable” of playing that role “for a long time.” 👀 

With June 1st behind us, the Vikings can cut Cook and spread his cap across two seasons, instead of it all accruing to one year (as it would have it they cut him prior to June 1st). ESPN’s Kevin Seifert wrote that the only thing left for the Vikings is “to formalize Cook’s exit”, while GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah is likely waiting to see if he can get some compensation before releasing Cook.

Like Mattison, we at FantasyPoints plan to help you score more fantasy points for a long time. Thanks for joining us, let’s get into it.

— JR

Was this email forwarded to you? Do you want to prove you’re better than your friends by beating them at fantasy football?

Join 45,000+ subscribers 👇

MOST POPULAR

OTA Insights, Rumours and Highlights

Tom Brolley dove into the final stage of the off-season program before contact practices begin. This is our first look at the rookies and returning vets looking to make statements in 2023.

📉 Dalton Kincaid’s ADP dropped after OC Ken Dorsey failed to endorse the first round TE as the Bills slot option: “We’re nowhere close to knowing what the big picture is going to be because we have to learn him and he has to learn us.” Rookie TEs don’t typically produce elite fantasy seasons, and Kincaid is one of the most overdrafted players with an ADP of 119 (TE11). The Bills are also among the favorites to add DeAndre Hopkins.

📈 Tyquan Thornton, who spent the off-season bulking up to improve his durability after missing time for a broken clavicle last season, is finally receiving some love in NE. New OC Bill O’Brien prominently featured him in the schemes installed during a May 31st practice, and Thornton’s 4.28-speed stood out in the non-padded practice.

📈 Elijah Moore’s stock is up after the Athletic’s Zac Jackson noted that Moore has been used on short passes that let him create after the catch, and he’s been used in motion and all over the formation during OTAs. “It’s clear the Browns are stressing three things: fast tempo, an attacking mindset on defense and feeding wide receiver Elijah Moore."

📈 Also in Cleveland, Jerome Ford is working as the top back for the first round of OTA practices with Nick Chubb taking the voluntary workouts off. The Browns let Kareem Hunt walk and have been noticeably quiet at the position this off-season. Ford could see an expanded role and handcuff value as Chubb’s top backup.

The full article has all the latest actionable fantasy football intel.

All the Hype

🔥 Calvin Ridley & Justyn Ross: Back to the Future

Calvin Ridley is turning heads with his on-field performance at OTAs, and he’s “ahead of schedule” with his knowledge of the offense heading into his first year with Jacksonville. Paired with Trevor Lawrence, Ridley is dripping with upside, especially after seeing Zay Jones blow-up on the perimeter during games last season. Only problem? Ridley is being drafted near his ceiling (WR17).

Treylon Burks has consistently been Ryan Tannehill’s favorite during OTAs — not that Tannehill has many choices — and reporter Jim Wyatt noted that Burks has yet to drop a pass during OTAs. Brett Whitefield expects the Titans to run a heavy play-action scheme that hides some of Burks’ deficiencies so he can catch and run. Burks will walk into 110+ targets.

Justyn Ross is making plays with Patrick Mahomes in OTAs after missing his entire rookie campaign after a foot surgery. Andy Reid said Ross “feels good” this off-season and that Mahomes has “trust” in his young receiver. Ross once was projected a first-round pick after his first two seasons at Clemson, but a congenital neck and spine condition scared teams away. Now, he’s looking like a no-brainer, late round grab. Someone check Scott Barrett’s blood pressure.

Dallas Goedert is working with Philadelphia’s WRs this spring “to sharpen his routes and releases” and to pick the brains of studs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, per Dave Zangaro. Goedert’s receiving YPG and catch rate have risen in four straight seasons, but he’s had trouble scoring, with just 19 career TDs on 341 targets (5.6% rate).

Read the full article.

WHAT ELSE IS COOKING

Deck the Halls with Quentin Johnston

The Fantasy Points staff recently welcomed NFL Insider Adam Caplan to talk about the AFC South as part of our Virtual Town Hall Series. Check out the entire conversation by accessing our Fantasy Points YouTube page and the Fantasy Points podcast feed.

Tom Brolley took notes from Adam Caplan and the rest of the Fantasy Points staff during these Town Hall meetings. We’ve sorted through the dankest, most actionable stats and included them below.

Samaje Perine will be be one of Joe Dolan’s most drafted running backs. Perine could see bell-cow work early in the season for as long as Javonte is out of the lineup.

Graham Barfield was a fan of Clyde Edwards-Helaire coming out of college, but CEH suffered bad injury luck in his first three seasons (high ankle, hip, gall bladder) and became a distant RB3 in KC last year. Isiah Pacheco is never going to be a big factor in the passing game and KC might not have given up on their former first rounder. Expect CEH to at least see screen passes, after which he’ll run like the Tasmanian Devil. Yes, my body is ready to get hurt again.

Raiders playmakers - including Jakobi Meyers and Davante Adams - are outlined here.

Adam Caplan on Damien Harris in Buffalo: The numbers between Brian Daboll’s offense in 2021 and Ken Dorsey’s offense from 2022 may have looked similar, but this offense wasn’t the same on tape last year. They had no one to close out games on the ground, and they’re hoping Damien Harris can do it. The Bills also went out of their way to upgrade the interior of their O-line by signing Connor McGovern and drafting O’Cyrus Torrence, which will help them run the ball.

Down in South Beach, Devon Achane’s blazing straight-line speed makes for a perfect match with Dolphins HC Mike McDaniel’s scheme. The big question with Achane is volume; the backfield is crowded with talent and could add Dalvin Cook. Still, the Dolphins had limited draft capital and used one of their picks on Achane, suggesting he should be used right away.

Props: Rookies and Passing Yards

Tom Brolley published his 2023 NFL Passing Yard Props, covering the majority of starting quarterbacks. In this article, Tom highlights a pair of bets already made and additional wagers considered - he also explains why Deshaun Watson is his most-drafted QB.

Brolley also outlined the rookie props for 2023, including why he is all-in on Bijan Robinson:

Saquon Barkley (#2, 2018) Leonard Fournette (#4, 2017), Ezekiel Elliott (#4, 2016), and Todd Gurley (#10, 2015) were the other four backs drafted inside the top 10 over the last decade. In that group, Fournette was the only RB who failed to reach 1101+ rushing yards as a rookie. Last year’s fifth-round pick Tyler Allgeier led the Falcons backfield with 210/1035 rushing (4.9 YPC) in 2022.

Atlanta’s rag-tag groups of backs led the NFL in RB rushing yards with 2209, and each of their backs who saw 75+ carries (Allgeier, Patterson, and Caleb Huntley) each averaged 4.8 YPC or better

Robinson would need 245 carries at 4.5 YPC to go over 1100.5 rushing yards; he could miss four games and still go over his total based on our projections.

Brolley’s Best Bet: Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) over 580.5 rushing yards (-115, Caesars). Risk 1.15 units to win one unit. Bet up to over 625 rushing yards.

For more rookie content, check out our 2023 Dynasty Rookie Rankings.

🎤 Guru's High-Stakes Dynasty Rookie Draft Review – John Hansen reviews his recent FFPC high-stakes rookie draft, breaking down his picks, his strategy, and his dynasty team in general.

🎤 Ranking The Top 10 NFL Offensive Lines - Take Talk Podcast covers the new Cowboys scheme with more play-action.

🎤 AFC OTA Fantasy + Deandre Hopkins News – From Jacksonville moving touches away from Travis Etienne, Aaron Rodgers’ injury and the Raiders being the Raiders, this episode covers all-things AFC.

Three Tweets

Anywhere but Buffalo, please. Sincerely, Bengals and Kincaid fans.

Is the trick to ignore Chiefs WRs and draft Travis Kelce again?

Regression candidates or simply elite performers?

Dynasty Corner

After the Cardinals released DeAndre Hopkins, the low-hanging fruit (Marquise Brown, Rondale Moore and even Greg Dortch) got all the attention.

But don’t forget the Cardinals 2023 third-rounder, WR Michael Wilson, who is now their only big body on the outside. Wilson missed a lot of time due to injury in college but really showed out during Senior Bowl Week. His closest athletic comps were Michael Thomas and Travis Fulgham, so there’s a wide range of outcomes here. He’s currently available in the 4th round of rookie drafts…

As always, all this content and more is available at FantasyPoints.com. See you next week! And keep an eye on the FantasyPoints Data Suite…

And that concludes this edition of The Roundup.

Please reach out to [email protected] if you have any questions or issues.